ENTSOG TYNDP 2017 - Annex G - GQA

NW – RU Min

Gross Calori c Value (kWh/m 3 , 25/0)

Gross Calori c Value (MJ/m 3 , 15/15)

NW – RU Min

41.80

12.20

40.80

11.70

39.80

38.80

11.20

37.80

36.80

10.70

35.80

34.80

10.20

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021 2022

2023

2024

2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

High probability

Low probability

2.5 and 97.5 percentiles

50 percentile (median)

NW – LNG Min

Gross Calori c Value (kWh/m 3 , 25/0)

Gross Calori c Value (MJ/m 3 , 15/15)

NW – LNG Min

41.80

12.20

40.80

11.70

39.80

38.80

11.20

37.80

36.80

10.70

35.80

34.80

10.20

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021 2022

2023

2024

2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

High probability

Low probability

2.5 and 97.5 percentiles

50 percentile (median)

In the two graphs above, it can be observed that inferior limit for GCV shows an ascending trend. The superior limit is less stable in a supply mix with minimum lev- els of LNG, registering the lowest value towards the middle of the period and rising again towards the end due to an increase of LNG flows.

Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2017 Annex G: Gas Quality Outlook | 17

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