ENTSOG TYNDP 2017 - Main Report

TWh/year

Blue Transition: Sources per supply mix – 2017

Blue Transition: Sources per supply mix – 2020

Blue Transition: Sources per supply mix – 2030

6,000

5,000

4,000

3,000

2,000

1,000

0 TWh/year

Blue Transition: Sources per supply mix – 2017

LNG Min LNG Max AZ Max RU Max RU Min Balanced Blue Transition: Sources per supply mix – 2020

LNG Min LNG Max AZ Max RU Max RU Min Blue Transition: Sources per supply mix – 2030

Balanced

LNG Min LNG Max RU Max RU Min Balanced

6,000

National Production (NP)

Russia (RU)

Norway (NO)

Libya (LY)

Azerbaijan (AZ)

Algeria (DZ)

LNG

5,000

TWh/year 4,000

EU Green Revolution: Sources per supply mix – 2017 SUPPLY ANGES IN BLUE TRANSITION

EU Green Revolution: Sources per supply mix – 2020

EU Green Revolution: Sources per supply mix – 2030

6,000 3,000 5,000 2,000 4,000 1,000

NP

RU

NO

DZ

LY

AZ

LNG

2017

25%

27–34%

20–24%

6–7%

1–2%

7–15%

2020

24%

25–40%

19–21%

4–8%

1–2%

1%

6–21%

3,000

0 2 30

14%

21–39%

15–21%

7–10%

2%

2%

11–29%

LNG Min LNG Max AZ Max RU Max RU Min Balanced

LNG Min LNG Max AZ Max RU Max RU Min

Balanced

LNG Min LNG Max RU Max RU Min Balanced

2,000

1,000

0 TWh/year

EU Green Revolution: Sources per supply mix – 2017

EU Green Revolution: Sources per supply mix – 2020

LNG Min LNG Max AZ Max RU Max RU Min EU Green Revolution: Sources per supply mix – 2030

LNG Min LNG Max AZ Max RU Max RU Min Balanced

Balanced

LNG Min LNG Max RU Max RU Min Balanced

6,000

National Production (NP)

Russia (RU)

Norway (NO)

Libya (LY)

Azerbaijan (AZ)

Algeria (DZ)

LNG

5,000

4,000

3,000

2,000

1,000

0

LNG Min LNG Max AZ Max RU Max RU Min Balanced

LNG Min LNG Max AZ Max RU Max RU Min

Balanced

LNG Min LNG Max RU Max RU Min Balanced

National Production (NP) National Production (NP)

Russia (RU) Russia (RU)

Norway (NO) Norway (NO)

Libya (LY) Libya (LY)

Azerbaijan (AZ) Azerbaijan (AZ)

Algeria (DZ) Algeria (DZ)

LNG

LNG

SUPPLY RANGES IN EU GREEN REVOLUTION

NP

RU

NO

DZ

LY

AZ

LNG

2017

26–35%

21–24%

5–7%

1–2%

–

8–15%

26%

2020

25%

27–41%

20–21%

5–8%

1–2%

1%

7–21%

2030

18%

19–48%

14–22%

4–10%

2%

2%

7–35%

Figure 6.8:  Yearly supply mixes at EU level in Blue Transition and EU Green Revolution scenarios over time

Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2017 Main Report | 191