ENTSOG TYNDP 2017 - Main Report

Conclusions The projects from the 2 nd -PCI list prove efficient in terms of improving security of supply and competition, additionally solving nearly all the assessed issues stemming from different supply prices per supply route. In terms of security of supply 2 nd PCI list projects provide the following further benefits compared to advanced projects: \\ South Eastern countries are protected from demand disruption in case of short-term Ukrainian route disruption including on the long-run and in the Blue Transition scenario. In 2030, while the situation for Romania is significantly improved compared to the advanced infrastructure level, the country could still face a limited demand disruption (around 10%) in case of Ukrainian route disruption. \\ The N-1 for ESW-CBA is improved for Croatia, Estonia, Greece, Lithuania, Portugal and Slovenia. \\ The access to supply sources is improved to the point where all European countries have access to a minimum of 3 different supply sources. Yet, even with the materialisation of the 2 nd -PCI list projects, the N-1 for ESW-CBA would remain below 100% on the long run for Bosnia and Herzegovina, Finland, FYROM, Ireland, Serbia and Sweden. The 2 nd -PCI list projects additionally deliver in terms of improving competition, by increasing route and supply diversification and consequently lifting local high dependence to specific supply sources. \\ The access to supply sources is improved to the point where all European countries have access to a minimum of 3 different supply sources from shortly after 2020. \\ High dependence to Russian gas is eradicated all over Europe. \\ The Iberian Peninsula dependence on LNG is significantly mitigated.

Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2017 Main Report |

239