ENTSOG TYNDP 2017 - Main Report

2.2.1.1 Split between final and power generation demand ( last 6 years )  1)

Some elements of gas demand are more sensitive to climate factors than commod- ity prices or economic slowdown, as a result splitting total gas demand into different classifications allows greater analysis of how the demand is evolving. Final demand (made up of residential & commercial, industrial and transport sectors) was relatively constant between 2010 and 2013 before seeing a decrease in 2014 and 2015. Part of this decrease can be attributed to these being the warmest years on record for the EU which would have a significant effect on the requirements for space heating. However, energy efficiency is also driving down the demand in some countries.

6,000 TWh/y

5,000

4,000

3,000

2,000

1,000

0

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Power generation

Final Demand

Figure 2.2: Evolution of European yearly gas consumption and its breakdown.

Gas demand for power generation had been in a continual decline since 2010, but reversed the trend in 2015. Some of the key factors behind these figures will be explored in this chapter, including looking at the evolution of sectoral demand collected for the first time in TYNDP 2017

15,0 %

9,7%

10,0

5,0

1,5%

0,6%

-7%

-8,3%

-3,3%

-2,9%

-10,1%

-10,0%

0,0

2,7%

4,0%

-5,0

-10,0

-9,6%

-12,1%

-15,0

-15,8%

-17,8%

-20,0

2010 to 2011

2011 to 2012

2012 to 2013

2013 to 2014

2014 to 2015

Final Demand

Power Generation

Grand Total

Figure 2.3: Breakdown of the European year to year gas consumption evolution.

 1) For countries unable to provide the disaggregation between final and power, all demand appears as final.

Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2017 Main Report | 47