ENTSOG TYNDP 2017 - Main Report

2.2.1.2 Final sectoral

Final demand is made up of the following sectors: Residential & Commercial, Indus- trial and Transport. A breakdown of this split was requested during the data collec- tion for both the demand scenarios and historical data. Many TSOs could provide this breakdown for TYNDP 2017  1) and it is something that ENTSOG plans to continue collecting, presenting and analysing in order to provide greater detail on the current trends and help to build more comprehensive future demand scenarios on a sectoral level. Figure 2.4 shows how residential & commercial dominates the share of final de- mand, but that it is more variable due to requirements for heating being driven by climatic conditions. The remaining share is taken up largely by industrial usage with gas demand for transport continuing to be under 1% across the period.

100 %

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

32%

34%

33%

33%

38%

37%

80

60

40

68%

65%

66%

66%

62%

62%

20

0

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Transport

Industrial

Residental & Commercial

Figure 2.4: Evolution of sectoral split of final demand

2.2.1.3 Power generation in Europe

Despite a steady increase in renewable generation (excluding hydro) installed as the decarbonisation of the electricity mix continues, thermal generation remains as the main source for power generation in Europe. Hydro and Nuclear generation have remained stable in the generation mix, with very little growth in capacity either due to environmental concerns or national policies.

2010

2015

2013

17

17

18

26

0.3

0.3

26

0.4

27

Fossil fuels Renewable Nuclear 13

16 Fossil fuels Renewable Nuclear

Nuclear Thermal generation Renewable (excl. hydro) Hydro Not clearly identifiable

7

%

%

%

Non-renewable hydro Not clearly identifiable

Non-renewable hydro Not clearly identifiable

43

49

41

Figure 2.5: European generation mix for power generation 2010, 2013 and 2015 (Source: ENTSO-E data platform, ENTSOG depiction)

 1) BA, BE, CZ, DE, EE, ES, FR, GR, HR, IT, LT, LU, MK, PT SK, UK. (Excluding FRt balancing zone in FR)

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Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2017 Main Report