ENTSOG TYNDP 2017 - Main Report

2.5.2.2 High demand cases

Reflecting the yearly volume data, Slow Progression and Blue Transition peak day gas demand for power generation decrease and increase the most respectively. The key differences lie in the Green scenarios, where the reduction between 2030 and 2035 is not as pronounced due to the requirement for providing generation in peak times that coincide with low RES generation. Back-up to the variability of RES is a key strength of gas-fired power plants.

9,000 5,000 4,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 GWh/d

0

2017

2020

2025

2030

2035

EU Green Revolution GR Yearly Ave

Green Evolution GE Yearly Ave

Blue Transition BT Yearly Ave

Slow Progression SP Yearly Ave

Figure 2.32: Peak gas demand for power generation

The 2-week high demand case follows the same trends displayed by the peak day, but shows a greater variance between the values depending on the scenario, with Slow Progression stable around 18–19%, but Blue Transition moving from a 22% down to a 16% difference between values in 2035.

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Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2017 Main Report