ENTSOG TYNDP 2017 - Main Report

7,000 TWh/y

Mtoe/y

500

6,500

6,000

5,500

400

5,000

4,500

4,000

300

3,500

3,000

200

2,500

2,000

1,500

100

1,000

500

On target 2030

Off target 2030

0

0

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009

2011

2013

2015

2017

2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035

2037

Green Evolution

Slow Progression

EU Green Revolution

Blue Transition

EC Reference Scenario 2016

WEO 2015 NPS

WEO 2015 CPS

WEO 2015 4505

historic gas demand

Figure 2.47: Comparison of TYNDP scenarios to European Commission Reference Scenario 2016 and IEA World Energy Outlook 2015 scenarios

ENERGY DEMAND (TWh GCV) FOR WEO 2015 AND 2016 SCENARIOS

GAS

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2015

New Policies

4,793

5,051

5,059

5,032

4,934

2015

Current Policies

4,981

5,753

6,171

2015

450S

4,711

4,513

3,615

2016

New Policies

4,870

5,038

5,059

5,023

4,859

2016

Current Policies

5,019

5,739

6,211

2016

450S

4,837

4,468

3,460

VARIANCE

New Policies

−14

−8

−74

77

0

VARIANCE

Current Policies

−14

38

40

VARIANCE

−44

−155

450S

126

Table 2.7: Comparison of WEO 2015 vs WEO 2016 gas demand (Source: IEA WEO reports, TWh GCV)

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