ENTSOG TYNDP 2017 - Main Report

3.1 Introduction

This chapter aims at defining future ranges of gas supply. This is not only an interesting task of its own but also a crucial basis for subsequent tasks. ENTSOG relies on publicly available input and studies from third parties to incorporate external knowledge into a resil- ient and reliable future assessment. The supply poten- tials as presented in this chapter have been developed for this TYNDP for the purposes of the EU supply adequacy outlook and the assessment of the gas infrastructure. These supply potentials should not be considered as forecasts. Starting from the historical supply of the various sources (indigenous production, pipeline import and LNG) the supply potentials are outlined following the logic of the previous TYNDP edition. European gas supply is divided between indigenous production and gas imports. From the perspective of the network assessment, ENTSOG distinguishes between pipeline-bounded imports from Russia, Norway, Algeria, Libya and Azerbaijan on one hand and LNG on the other hand. In the TYNDP, Norwegian production is considered as an import and is not report- ed as part of the European indigenous production. Whenever a source exports gas through both LNG and pipe, the LNG part is always reported separately from the overall supply of this source and is gathered in the LNG supply potential. As a reported supply source, LNG aggregates the potential production of over 20 producing countries including Russia, Norway and Algeria. With this approach ENTSOG recognises the global nature of the LNG market. In addition to the gas supply source, ENTSOG uses the concept of “import routes” defining the entry points into Europe. The different routes considered in this Report are listed in table 3.1 on the following page.

Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2017 Main Report | 99