ENTSOG GRIP CEE 2014-2023 / Main Report
Romania (+/- 0%) and Slovakia (+11%) is almost stable, whereas the rest of the CEE countries show an increase between 25% and 45%, being 27% on average over the 2014–2023 period for the whole region. A detailed overview is given in the table below.
2014 [GWh/d]
2018 [GWh/d]
2023 [GWh/d]
COUNTRY
2014 to 2018 2018 to 2023 2014 to 2023
AT
275
321
346
16.56%
7.95% 25.82%
BG
94
119
130
26.82%
9.92% 39.39%
HR
74
100
104
34.77%
3.78% 39.87%
CZ
275
337
362
22.59%
7.54% 31.84%
DEg
1,071
1,038
1,005
- 3.07% - 3.17% - 6.14%
DEn
1,268
1,225
1,192
- 3.46% - 2.68% - 6.05%
HU
302
400
436
32.38%
9.07% 44.39%
PL
485
716
771
47.60%
7.63% 58.86%
RO
395
395
395
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
SK
155
173
173
11.97%
0.00% 11.97%
SI
28
38
45
39.18% 15.85% 61.24%
Table 8: Evolution of the demand by country/balancing zone under the average day conditions
Supply
The supply analysis shows that under average day conditions each country can cover its demand. The remaining flexibility for each country to be supplied lies above 20% for the whole region with implementation of FID projects, with the exception of Poland which has an 11% remaining flexibility in 2018 and 4% in 2023. By implementing the non-FID projects, Poland would also increase the remaining flexibility in its gas grid to over 20% for both 2018 and 2023.
Supply sources
As shown in the chart below, Russia is the main supplier for the region, providing 69% of the supply in 2014 and increasing to around 77% in 2023. National production in the region decreases from 24% in 2014 to 14% in 2023. The share of Norwegian gas is almost constant during the period with around 6.8%. LNG plays only a minor role with shares up to 1.8% and 3% in the FID and non-FID scenarios in 2023, respectively. The gas originating from the SGC region has a maximum share of around 1%.
80 %
60
40
20
0
1.84
1.47
1.04
0.01
0.24
LNG
NP
DZ
LY
SGC
NO
RU
2014 FID
2018 FID
2023 FID
2018 non-FID
2023 non-FID
Figure 5: The share of supply sources in the CEE region under the average day conditions
GRIP Central Eastern Europe 2014–2023 |
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