ENTSOG GRIP CEE 2014-2023 / Main Report

Supply

Under average summer day conditions each country can cover its demand easily. The remaining flexibility for each country to be supplied lies above 20% for the whole region with implementation of FID projects, with the exception of Poland which has 17.7% remaining flexibility in 2018 and 9.7% in 2023. By implementing also the non-FID projects, Poland would increase the remaining flexibility in its gas grid to over 20% for 2018 and 2023.

Supply sources

Russia is again the main supplier for the region, providing 64% of the supply in 2014 and increasing to around 72% in 2023. National production in the region decreases from 26.4% in 2014 to 16% in 2023. The share of Norwegian gas is almost constant during the period with around 9.1%. LNG plays only a minor role with shares up to 1.8% and 3% in the FID and non-FID scenarios in 2023, respec- tively. The gas originating from the SGC region has a share lower than 0.1% and is only expected to be available under non-FID cases in Bulgaria.

80 %

60

40

20

1.72

0

1.81

0.05

0.01

0.37

LNG

NP

DZ

LY

SGC

NO

RU

2014 FID

2018 FID

2023 FID

2018 Non-FID

2023 Non-FID

Figure 8: The share of supply sources in the CEE region under the average summer day conditions

GRIP Central Eastern Europe 2014–2023 |

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