ENTSOG GRIP CEE 2014-2023 / Main Report

4.1.3. Average Winter Day

Demand

Assuming an average winter day in the CEE region, the total demand develops from 5,980 GWh/d in 2014 to 6,693 GWh/d in 2023. In the charts below, the demand evolution per country as well as the cumulated demand in the region is displayed.

2,000 GWh/d

1,500

1,000

500

0

2014

2018

2023

DEn

DEg

PL

Ro

HU

CZ

AT

SK

BG

HR

SI

Figure 9: Evolution of the demand by country/balancing zone under the average winter day conditions

0 2,000 3,000 1,000 5,000 4,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 GWh/d

2014

2018

2023

DEn

DEg

PL

Ro

HU

CZ

AT

SK

BG

HR

SI

Figure 10: Evolution of the cumulated demand under the average winter day conditions

As the "Average Winter Day" and the "Average Summer Day" scenarios are derived from the "Average Day", the relative shares and demand changes are identical as above.

Supply

Under average winter day conditions, each country can cover its demand easily in 2014 as well as 2018. The remaining flexibility for each country to be supplied lies above 20% for the whole region with implementation of FID projects. For 2023, only the Polish network is expected to show a shortage of 0.24% (2.21 GWh/d), which can be mitigated by implementation of the non-FID projects.

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GRIP Central Eastern Europe 2014–2023

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