ENTSOG GRIP CEE 2014-2023 / Main Report

4.1.7.4 Average Day – maximum LNG

Supply mix

80 %

60

40

20

1.35

0

0.49

0.62

0.57

0.23

0.20

0.07

0.03

0.06

LNG

NP

DZ

LY

SGC

NO

RU

2014 FID

2018 FID

2023 FID

2018 non-FID

2023 non-FID

Figure 24: The share of supply sources in the CEE region under maximum deliveries of LNG and the average day conditions

Under maximum LNG utilization, Russia is still the main supplier of the region, having a share between 69.5% and 72%. The share of national production is expected to decrease from 24% in 2014 to 16% in 2023, while in the non-FID case, its share is around 3% lower (18% in 2018, 13.3% in 2023). The share of Norwe- gian gas moves between 6% in 2014 and 7% in 2023 in the FID case, in the non-FID case between 6.3% in 2018 and 5.2% in 2023. LNG is expected to contribute around 4% in 2018 and 2023 after 0.5% in 2014, in case of implemen- tation of the non-FID projects the share would be around 7% in 2018 - 2023. The SGC gas would have a share of 1.3% in 2023 non-FID. Supply The demand of the CEE region can be covered in the whole CEE region. Poland is expected to have reduced remaining flexibility of 10.7% in 2018 (FID) and almost no remaining flexibility (0.2%) in the 2023 FID-case, but would be > 20% with implementation of the non-FID projects. All other countries have left more than 20% remaining flexibility.

GRIP Central Eastern Europe 2014–2023 |

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