ENTSOG GRIP CEE 2014-2023 / Main Report

4.1.7.5 Source predominance

In order to visualize the impact of variation of different source deliverability and make them comparable, in the tables below the shares of the various sources are displayed for the min/max RU and min/max LNG scenarios together with the shares of the reference scenario are given. The variation of the LNG deliveries has only limited impact on the distribution of the different source shares compared to the reference scenario. Also the maximisation of Russian deliverability is mainly impact- ing the share of national production. Under minimized Russian deliveries on the other hand, the shares of almost all other sources increase in order to satisfy the CEE gas demand. Taking into consideration that in all the market integration scenarios analysed no CEE country suffers from shortages, the market integration in the region is already on a good level, and is likely to be even improved in future by upcoming projects.

100 %

80

60

40

20

0

0.24

LNG 0.49

0.18

NP

DZ

LY

SGC

NO

RU

ref

min LNG

max LNG

min RU

max RU

Figure 25: Source predominance in the CEE region under reference scenario and min/max RU, min/max LNG cases in the 2014 FID case

100 %

80

60

40

20

1.47

1.33

1.71

0

0.82

0.62

0.23

0.07

0.07

LNG

NP

DZ

LY

SGC

NO

RU

ref

min LNG

max LNG

min RU

max RU

Figure 26: Source predominance in the CEE region under reference scenario and min/max RU, min/max LNG cases in the 2018 FID case

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GRIP Central Eastern Europe 2014–2023