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Our Changing Workforce

Growth in the working age population will slow

dramatically over the next 20 years – an

increase of 18% compared to 40% 1995-2015.

Aged dependency will increase. As populations

age, a greater number of retirees will need to

be supported by a shrinking labor force.

Demographic forces are exerting pressure on the world’s future labor force. Population aging is one of

the most significant of these forces, which will a†ect not only the future size of the workforce but also

its composition. Globally, while growth in the working age population will continue, the rate of growth

is projected to slow. This will present opportunities and challenges at the regional and national level.

Growth in working age population to slow

Gen Y to dominate labor force composition

Aged dependency to increase

Japan’s sharp decline in labor force

By 2035, Baby Boomers will no longer be part of

the workforce in OECD countries, while Gen Z will

exceed Gen Y in working age population size.

Number of workers per retiree

Millions

Japan is forecast to experience a 15% decline in working

age population between 2015 and 2035.

100+

95-99

90-94

85-89

80-84

75-79

70-74

65-69

60-64

55-59

50-54

45-49

40-44

35-39

30-34

25-29

20-24

15-19

10-14

5-9

0-4

ABSOLUTE WORKING AGE POPULATION GROWTH

1

2

5

42

6

60

21

36

32

1

2

3

4

5

17

35

49

56

JAPAN

ITALY

GERMANY

HONG KONG SAR, CHINA

PORTUGAL

EUROPEAN UNION

SINGAPORE

UNITED KINGDOM

OECD MEMBERS

UNITED STATES

AUSTRALIA

WORLD

2.3

2.9

3.1

4.8

3.1

3.4

6.2

3.6

4.0

4.5

4.4

7.9

1.8

1.8

1.8

2.0

2.0

2.2

2.3

2.6

2.6

2.8

3.1

4.9

PERCENT WORKING AGE POPULATION GROWTH

% of working age in

1975-1995

1.069 Billion

55%

1995-2015

1.217 Billion

40%

2015-2035

757 Million

18%

BABY BOOMERS

GEN X

GEN Y

GEN Z

31%

25%

41%

2%

2015

11%

25%

41%

24%

2025

0%

41%

46%

2035

13%

Global Rank

(2015)

2015

2035

Global Rank

(2035)

2035

2015

Males

Females

Working

Population

DOMINIC BROWN

Head of Australia & New Zealand Research

dominic.brown@cushwake.com

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