ENTSOG South-North Corridor GRIP 2017 - Main Report

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South-North Corridor GRIP 2017 | 41
3.3.2 PEAK DEMAND
In addition to the forecast of the average annual demand, estimates of the peak
demand between 2017 and 2037 have been analysed, as being particularly
significant for the network planning in the different countries (“design case”).
Figure 3.19 shows how the peak demand is expected to remain almost stable in the
next twenty years, with a slight increase in the first 10 years and a slow decrease
over the following 10 years, reaching again current values.
0
40,000
35,000
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
GWh/d
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037
Region Rest of EU-28 Total
Total peak demand
Figure 3.19: Evolution of total peak demand according to the Blue Transition scenario
(Source: projection based on data from TSOs collected by ENTSOG)
The South-North Corridor countries account for about 50% of the peak demand at
European level, with a slight decline expected in the following years. This trend re-
flects the relative reduction of the overall annual gas demand of the Region com-
pared to the rest of EU-28, already described in the previous section
Figure 3.20 shows the expected evolution of the peak demand between 2017 and
2037 for the individual South-North Corridor countries.
0
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
GWh/d
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037
DE IT FR BE CH LU
Total peak demand by country
Figure 3.20: Evolution of the total peak demand between 2017 and 2037 for the countries of the South-North Corridor Region
according to the Blue Transition scenario (Source: projection based on data from TSOs collected by ENTSOG)