"A risk assessment of the Piql Services" by FFI

Cause

Type of risk (Hazard/Threat)

Threat: A strategic assault targeting the piqlVault as a build-up to a greater armed conflict.

Intentional (Yes/No/Both)

Yes.

State X with a mind to take over the world. It is one of the most powerful states in a multipolar world system with a history of very erratic behaviour on the world stage. Has acted aggressively before, but has been left to its own devices as the other states do not want to provoke a full scale attack. The state actor suspects the piqlVault in question is hiding intelligence about its military capacity. Believes it must gain a hold of these to launch a successful armed attack against the rest of Europe. The state actor has one of the world’s largest stocks of very advanced military resources, both at sea, on land and in the air (which also includes EMWs).

Profile of actor (if intentional)

Description of cause

Competence and resources (if intentional)

User/value

User class

Public sensitive.

User type

Military. Defence.

Value

Military intelligence regarding state X, which is seeking world domination. Without this information it will be more difficult to launch counterattacks against the future campaign of state X.

Location

Geographical zone: North (Northern Areas, the Arctic). It is a mostly barren land, with snow-covered tundra and dangerous treks, which requires local knowledge to get about. Despite the harsh conditions, the developmental level is high and the political climate is stable, though the jurisdiction over the region is contested. The piqlVault is located in a remote location, far away from civilisation, as it is placed in a mountain hall. The scenario takes place in the future, 2346, as it presupposes an imagined situation in which a country seeks world dominance. The time period is 0-30/50 years, as the value is time-sensitive, i.e. the intelligence is only valid for so long due to state X’s continuous military development. The scenario is also a risk for the present, so long as the Piql Preservation Services store information which others are willing to

Location description

156

FFI-RAPPORT 16/00707