ENTSOG Gas Regional Investment Plan (GRIP) 2017 - 2026 / Southern Corridor / Main Report

7.4 Flows response to price signals

In this paragraph we examine how the flows in the Region are changed when the supply source prices are modified with reference to the reference case. The gas sources examined are Russia, LNG and Azerbaijan. The price of one source at a time is reduced by 10% and the flows are recalculated by the ENTSOG NeMo tool which minimises the overall EU gas bill. The results are presented for the two infrastructure levels (Low and PCI) and the two points in time (2020 and 2030).

7.4.1 LOW INFRASTRUCTURE CASE

Figure 7.4.1: 2020 Low Reference

Figure 7.4.2: 2020 low RU max

0–50GWh/d

0–80% of capacity 80–99% of capacity 99–100% of capacity 20–40% <20% <40%

0–50GWh/d

0–80% of capacity 80–99% of capacity 99–100% of capacity

20–40% <20% <40%

10–30% >20%

10–30% >20%

50–250GWh/d 250–600GWh/d 600–1100GWh/d >1100GWh/d

50–250GWh/d 250–600GWh/d 600–1100GWh/d >1100GWh/d

<30%

<30%

Figure 7.4.3: 2020 Low AZ max

Figure 7.4.4: 2020 Low LNG max

0–50GWh/d

0–80% of capacity 80–99% of capacity 99–100% of capacity 20–40% <20% <40% Legend

0–50GWh/d

0–80% of capacity 80–99% of capacity 99–100% of capacity

20–40% <20% <40%

10–30% >20%

10–30% >20%

50–250GWh/d 250–600GWh/d 600–1100GWh/d >1100GWh/d

50–250GWh/d 250–600GWh/d 600–1100GWh/d >1100GWh/d

<30%

<30%

0–50GWh/d

0–80% of capacity 80–99% of capacity 99–100% of capacity

20–40% <20% <40%

10–30% >20%

50–250GWh/d 250–600GWh/d 600–1100GWh/d >1100GWh/d

<30%

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Southern Corridor GRIP 2017–2026

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