ENTSOG GRIP South - Main Report

300 TWh/y

by country

3. Increase of the renewable production: Due to theEuropeanEnergypolicy objectives for 2020 and beyond, theRES installed capacity has increased significantly over the past years. Special relevance assumes the installed capacity in wind parks in the IberianPeninsula. As a consequence, the share of the renewableproduction in theenergymixhas increased significantly and the gas consumption for power gen- eration has dropped accordingly. Themacroeconomic scenarios underlying the gas for power generation projections of both studies, TYNDP 2013–2022 and GRIP, incorporate the most recent expected trends for the economic activity.

250

200

150

100

50

0

2010

2012

2014

2016

2018

2020

2022

France

Portugal

Spain

TYNDP 2013–2022

Figure 3.15: Yearly gas demand for power generation – TYNDP 2013–2022 and GRIPs. France, Portugal, Spain and the South Region

France

80 TWh/y

Concerning gas demand for power generation, GRTgaz identifies each project. Comparing to the TYNDP scenario, schedule of new power plants has slightly changed. In theGRIP scenario, some projects have beenpostponed or cancelled, and some existing power generationcapacitieshavebeenput onhold for a period starting in 2013 up to 2018. In the TIGF region, a first CCGT project is planned for 2017. ConcerningTIGF areanone increase of demand is ex- pected. This isprincipallydue to theeffect of thecrisis and consequently a loss of economic dynamics. A smooth decrease is considered for TIGF forecast from 2013 to 2022 because of the anticipation of the energy efficiency regulation which will lower the energy consumption of buildings.

60

40

20

0

2010

2012

2014

2016

2018

2020

2022

Power Generation (GRIP)

TYNDP 2013–2022

Figure 3.16: France – Yearly gas demand for power generation in the TYNDP 2013–2022 vs. GRIP

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ENTSOG–GRIPSouth 2013–2022