ENTSOG GRIP South - Main Report

France

5,000 GWh/d

The French legislation defines a specific standard for the level of risk tobeadopted for gas transport, dis- tribution and supply. At national level: the high daily peak demand corresponds to a day of exceptionally high gas demand occurringwith a statistical probabil- ity of one in 50 years. Thus, for the determination of the high daily demand the same methodology used in the previous TYNDP 2013–2022 study has been implemented. As presented in Figure 3.22, a global stagnation is now observed. A smooth decrease is taken into account for the industrial and commercial sectors due to the economic crisis in Western Europe and in France. CHP sector has been strongly impacted for the past couple of years by the decommissioning of several facilities at the end of their specific contracts. Impact of theenvironmental regulationon the residen- tial andcommercial sectors isnot stronger in theGRIP scenario compared to the TYNDP2013–2022.

by sector

4,000

3,000

2,000

1,000

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0

Conventional Demand (GRIP) Conventional Demand (TYNDP 2013–2022)

Power Generation (GRIP) Power Generation (TYNDP 2013–2022)

Figure 3.22 : High daily demand: design case France –HDDDesign Case TYNDP 2013–2022 vs. GRIPs

Portugal

450 400 GWh/d

Portuguese legislation doesn’t define a specific stand- ard for the level of risk to be adopted beyond the requirements imposed by Regulation (EU) No. 994/ 2010on securityof gas supply.Hence, for thispurpos- es, REN is adopting Article 6 – Infrastructures stand- ard as the reference to be adopted at national level: the high daily peak demand corresponds to a day of exceptionallyhighgasdemandoccurringwitha statis- tical probability of one in 20 years. Thus, for the determination of the high daily demand the same methodology used in the previous TYNDP 2013–2022 study has been implemented. As pre- sented in Figure 3.23, the results of both studies are very similar.

by sector

350 300 200 250 100 150

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0

Conventional Demand (GRIP) Conventional Demand (TYNDP 2013–2022)

Power Generation (GRIP) Power Generation (TYNDP 2013–2022)

Figure 3.23: High daily demand: design case Portugal –HDDDesign Case TYNDP 2013–2022 vs. GRIPs

ENTSOG–GRIPSouth 2013–2022 |

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