ENTSOG GRIP South - Main Report

6.1 Resilienceof the

EuropeanGasNetwork

The Infrastructure Resilience assessment examines the ability of the infrastructure to transport largequantities of gas under highdaily conditions (Supply Stress). This assessment is used for identification of investment gaps andpotential remedies.

DEMAND

SUPPLY

1-day Design Case 14-day High Risk Situation

– – Reference – – Complete Disruption of Norway to France – – Partial Disruption of Norway to United Kingdom (Langeled failure) – – Complete Disruption of Russia through Belarus – – Complete Disruption of Russia through Ukraine – – Complete Disruption of Algeria to Italy (Transmed failure) – – Partial Disruption of Algeria to Spain (MEG failure) – – Complete Disruption of Libya to Italy – – Extreme LNGMinimisation: European Resilience to low LNG deliverability

RFlex = 1 – ————— ∑ EnteringFlows ∑ EnteryCapacity

Remaining flexibility (RFlex) indicator at Zone level to identify investment gaps when RFlex<5% (Ref. Case) or <1% (Supply Stress Cases) Use of LNG and UGS as last resort supply European resilience to low LNG deliverability to identify Zones requiring a LNGminimum Send-Out >20%

Figure 6.2: Resilience of European Gas NetworkMethodology

Image courtesy of REN–Gasodutos

ENTSOG–GRIPSouth 2013–2022 |

53

Made with