ENTSOG GRIP South - Main Report

6.1.3 SouthRegionresilience to low LNGdeliverability

The ENTSOG TYNDP 2013–2022 has detected a lack of resilience to low LNG deliverability in the Iberian Peninsula. The maps included in the ENTSOG TYNDP show that the Iberian Peninsula requires a minimum level of gas flow from LNG Terminals, [40%; 60%] of the LNG Terminals Send-Out capacity, during high daily demand (design case situation). These results indicate a potential vulnerability in the Iberian Peninsula to events, as for instance climatic conditions impacting LNG delivery from the Terminals, and/or local events as the technical disruption of the single LNG Terminal of a country impacting the send-out. This aspect has been further analysed. The lack of resilience to low LNG deliverability in the Iberian Peninsula has been improved in the past years by the followingmeasures already in place: \\ by increasing cross border capacity between the IberianPeninsula andFrance and between Portugal and Spain, as well the appropriated reinforcements in the French core network, \\ through strategic UGS providing the amount of gas to substitute the lack of LNG, and also… \\ through LNG Tanks providing autonomy to the LNG Terminals: adequate LNG tanks capacity and the requirement of someminimumLNG stock level in them, in order tomaintain a certain level of Send-Out during a period of time, \\ and by improving the diversification of LNG supply sources. Resilience to low LNG delivery: Infrastructure perspective Figure 6.8 shows the results of the simulations done for the TYNDP analysing the resilience to low LNG deliverability, for a 14-dayHighRisk Situation.

2013 (Reference Case)

2017 (FID)

2022 (FID)

20–40% <20% Zone connected to a LNG terminal

40–60%

2017 (n-FID)

2022 (n-FID)

Figure 6.8: Resilience to low LNG delivery –Demand 14-day High Risk Situation

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ENTSOG–GRIPSouth 2013–2022