ENTSOG GRIP South - Main Report

6.2.1 Annual LNGSupplyDependence

The IberianPeninsula and the South of France has been identified in the ENTSOG TYNDP 2013–2022 as areas with strong annual dependency on LNG. The results of the ENTSOG TYNDP highlight the role of new transmission projects debottlenecking the internal congestion in theFrenchnetworkanddevelopingcross border capacity between France and Spain and between Spain and Portugal in order tomitigate the dependence on LNG source. The analysis of the results of the simulations done for the TYNDP described in the Figure6.11, and the additional sensitivity simulations of theTYNDP analysis carried out for this GRIP focus onn-FIDprojects in the SouthRegion, show: \\ The annual LNGdependence inFrancewill decreasewith theFIDprojects and would disappear with the n-FID transmissionprojects. \\ Additional to these developments in France, the annual LNG dependence in Spain will diminish after the n-FID project developing the new cross border capacity between Spain andFrance. \\ The annual LNG dependence for Portugal could be also mitigated if the 3rd IP Portugal-Spain is developed, in addition to the neededmentioned develop- ments in France andSpain.

2013 (Reference Case)

2017 (FID)

2022 (FID)

LNG RU

40–60% 20–40% <20% >60%

Zone connected to a LNG terminal

2017 (n-FID)

2022 (n-FID)

Figure 6.11: Supply Source Dependence on annual basis –Demand 1-day Average Situation

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ENTSOG–GRIPSouth 2013–2022