ENTSOG GRIP South - Main Report

6.4 Capability for SupplySource Diversification In the ENTSOG TYNDP 2013–2022, the assessment of the Supply Source Diversificationaims at determining theability of eachZone toaccess each identified supply source. It ismeasured by the number of sources inwhom a Zonemay have physical access to covering at least 5% or 20% of its total supply. Thisassessment isbasedon independent TargetedMaximisation simulationswhere each source is sent one by one in direction of a particular Zone in order to check source accessibility. This assessment does not cover the contractual access to a given source or specificmarket conditions whichmay be independent from physi- cal access but have an impact on source accessibility.

DEMAND

SUPPLY

“TargetedMaximisation” of source S to zone Z Several simulations in all directions in order to test the supply reach from source S – – For each simulation, Source S is increased up to itsMaximum Potential scenario with reduction of the others sources down to their Minimum Potential Scenario, in order to achieve the targeted supply share in the zone Z

1-day Average Situation

Identification of supply sources each Zonemay have access (simultaneity not tested) according the 5% and 20% targeted supply share Identification of the number of supply sources a zonemay have access according the 5% targeted supply share

Figure 6.27: Capability for Supply Source DiversificationMethodology

In the Figure 6.28 we can see the results obtained in the ENTSOG-TYNDP 2013–2022. It is highlighted the increment of supply sources in the SouthRegion as a consequence of developing n-FID projects. For the GRIP South Region, following the strategic concept of the North-South Corridor inWesternEurope, i.e., to better interconnect theMediterranean area and thus supplies from Africa and the Northern supply Corridor, with supplies from Norway and Russia, we will focus our analysis in themaximization of Algerian gas andRussian gas.

ENTSOG–GRIPSouth 2013–2022 |

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