ENTSOG GRIP South - Main Report

2013 (Reference Case)

2017 (FID)

2022 (FID)

Number of sources a zonemay have access alternatively (5% share threshold)

1 5

2 6

3

4

including LNG

7

2017 (n-FID)

2022 (n-FID)

Figure 6.28: Supply Source diversification

6.4.1 MaximizationofAlgeriangas

TheMaximumPotential supply fromAlgeria is based on theHigh case of the “Gas Export Availability” data fromMott MacDonald’s report: Supplying the EUNatural Gas Market (Sep 2010) which was ordered by the European Commission. This Maximum Potential Supply is 12% lower than the capacity of the pipelines from Spain and Italy. We focus our analysis on themaximization of Algerian gas through pipesMGE and MedGaz from the Iberian Peninsula to central Europe. Using the NeMo tool de­ veloped by ENTSOG, for the year 2022, we have run simulations of the European network considering the cluster of the existing infrastructures+ the FID projects. Additionally to this cluster, we have also simulated the network including the de­ velopment of the new corridor “Bidirectional flows betweenPortugal, Spain, France andGermany”. For these simulations, current capacity of the pipes from Algeria to Spain is maximized. Going deeper in the effect of the development of the new corridor “Bidirectional flows betweenPortugal, Spain, France andGermany”, it shouldbeunderlined that: \\ Figure6.29 shows the spread of Algerian gas throughEurope. After developing MidCat project,merging theGRTgazNorthandSouth zonesand thecreationof gasflow fromFrance toGermany, Algeriangascould reach theNorthof France, Switzerland andGermany. The potential supply share showed in the figure is directly derived for the current capacity of the pipelines from Algeria to Iberian Peninsula. The extension of these pipelines will modify the potential supply share.

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ENTSOG–GRIPSouth 2013–2022