Decommissioning Insight 2016 - Oil & Gas UK

Figure 13: Forecast Length of Pipelines for ‘Making Safe’ in the Southern North Sea and Irish Sea

1

700

Increased Uncertainty in Forecasts

2

600

500

3

400

300

4

Kilometres of Pipeline

200

100

5

0

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

6

Source: Oil & Gas UK

Pipeline 'Making Safe' 2016 to 2025 (Kilometres) 2,885

7

Norwegian Continental Shelf

8

• Operators forecast that 108 topside modules on 13 platforms and 2 FPSOs will be ‘made safe’ in preparation for removal over the next ten years. • Topside preparation is slightly higher with a forecast of 111 topside modules on 14 platforms and 2 FPSOs, as ‘making safe’ work has already been carried out on one platform. • The bulk of work is planned between 2019 and 2023, peaking at over 40 topside modules in 2023. • Just over 350 kilometres of pipeline are forecast for ‘making safe’ on the Norwegian Continental Shelf over the next decade. All of this activity is in the Norwegian North Sea. • Activity will vary significantly year-on-year, peaking at 120 kilometres in 2020. • Forecast pipeline ‘making safe’ activity in the Norwegian North Sea region of the Norwegian Continental Shelf has increased since estimates made last year as ten new projects are captured. • The bulk of the pipeline decommissioning activity associated with these projects however lies outside the survey timeframe. • In contrast to the 2015 report, no pipeline decommissioning activity is forecast in the Norwegian Sea due to the deferral of a subsea project.

9

25