ENTSOG Southern Corridor (SC) Gas Regional Investment Plan (GRIP) 2014-2023 / Main Report

Figure 3.3 below shows a comparison between the actual and forecast demand fig- ures in the Southern Corridor GRIP 2012–2021, the TYNDP 2013–2022 and the ones provided by the TSOs for this GRIP. The chart shows the annual demand evolution of the Southern Corridor Region.

1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 800 600 400 200 1,000 2,000 TWh/y

Actual

Forecast

0

2009

2011

2013

2015

2017

2023

2019 2021

Southern Corridor GRIP 2014 ENTSOG TYNDP 2013

Southern Corridor GRIP 2012

Figure 3.3: Southern Corridor annual gas demand GRIP 2014-2023 comparison TYNDP 2013 – 2022 & SC GRIP 2012 – 2021

Each forecast shows a slight increase in annual demand over the period however the consecutive demand forecasts show a steady decrease of the expected gas demand level. The decrease between Southern Corridor GRIP demand forecast 2012–2021 and 2014–2023 is shown in the following table:

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Difference (TWh)

-222 -249 -281 -302 -303 -290 -276 -265 -253 -14.4 -15.8 -17.2 -18.1 -17.9 -16.9 -15.9 -15.1 -14.4

Difference (%)

Table 3.2: Decrease between demand forecast of Southern Corridor GRIP 2012 – 2021 and 2014 – 2023

The more contained decrease between demand forecast of ENTSOG TYNDP 2013–2022 and Southern Corridor GRIP 2014–2023, since the time span between them is shorter, is shown in the following table:

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Difference (TWh)

-117 -129 -151 -177 -179 -165 -154 -148 -136 -134 -8.1 -8.8 -10.1 -11.5 -11.4 -10.4 -9.6 -9.1 -8.3 -8.2

Difference (%)

Table 3.3: Decrease between demand forecast of ENTSOG TYNDP 2013 – 2022 and Southern Corridor GRIP 2014 – 2023

Southern Corridor GRIP 2014–2023 |

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