ENTSOG Southern Corridor (SC) Gas Regional Investment Plan (GRIP) 2014-2023 / Main Report

1,200 TWh/y

1,600 1,400 1,200 800 600 400 200 1,000 1,800 TWh/y

Actual

Forecast

Actual

Forecast

1,000

RCI comparsion

800

600

400

Power generation comparsion

200

0

0

2009

2011

2013

2015

2017

2023

2009

2011

2013

2015

2017

2023

2019 2021

2019 2021

RCI

Power generation

Southern Corridor GRIP 2014–2023 Southern Corridor GRIP 2014–2023

ENTSOG TYNDP 2013–2022 ENTSOG TYNDP 2013–2022

Figure 3.4: Southern Corridor Yearly Demand Breakdown (historical and forecast)

Figure 3.5: TYNDP 2013 – 2022 vs. SC GRIP 2014 – 2023 comparison for RCI and Power Generation

Figure 3.5 shows the demand breakdown between RCI demand and gas fired power generation demand comparing this GRIP data and the TYNDP 2013–2022 figures. The GRIP RCI demand, over the period to 2023, is expected to increase by 4.5%. The Power Generation forecast demand shows slower increase, in comparison with the TYNDP 2013–2022 data, but reaches practically the same level at the end of the period. The change in the power generation demand shows a 44% increase over the period 2013-2023. The reasons for the higher expected increase in the power generation sector are the relative immaturity of gas fired power generation sector in several countries (see figure 3.9 on the following pages) and the complementarity with renewable energy sources that CCGT power plants can offer. The maps in the Figures 3.6 to 3.8 below depict the demand evolution per country in total and broken down to Residential- Commercial-Industrial (RCI) and Power Generation 1) .

– +

10–20% 5–10% 0–5% <20%

Figure 3.6: Southern Corridor countries annual demand evolution over the period 2013 – 2023

Figure 3.7: Southern Corridor countries RCI annual demand evolution over the period 2013 – 2023

Figure 3.8: Southern Corridor countries annual gas demand for power generation evolution over the period 2013 – 2023

1) Figures 3.7 and 3.8 do not contain information on Austria as its demand breakdown between RCI and power generation is not available.

Southern Corridor GRIP 2014–2023 |

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