ENTSOG Southern Corridor (SC) Gas Regional Investment Plan (GRIP) 2014-2023 / Main Report

120,000 100,000 80,000 20,000 60,000 40,000 140,000 160,000 GWh/y

700 800 GWh/d

In this paragraph we present the historical (up to and including 2012) and forecasted data of annual and peak daily demand country by country. The Regional increase in annual demand is expected to be 14.8%. From the graphs of figure 3.12 result that Bulgaria, Greece, Croatia, Hunga- ry, Italy and Slovenia expect an increase in gas demand for power generation. Moreover it is shown that in several countries the increase percentage of the daily peak demand is expected to exceed the one of the yearly demand. This may be attributed to the increase of intermittency of the CCGT operation due to the increase in the use of renewable energy sources. The evolution of the annual demand refers to the period 2013–2023 1) . Please note that the peak demand line corresponds to the right-hand vertical axis. Therefore the distance of this line from the bars representing the annual demand (read on the left-hand axis) does not have any significance. The graphs on the left provide an additional sign on the importance of peak demand requirements in terms of disaggregated analysis per country. Peak daily demand is growing in the majority of Regional States, providing an indication for potential infrastructure development needs. This conclusion is particularly relevant for those countries having still an important potential ahead. For mature markets peak demand is more stable and infrastructure enhancements could be more linked to the changing evolution of demand and supply patterns and to the neces- sity to adequately refurbish gas system components and equipment. 1) Demand data refer to TSOs contributions sent to ENTSOG in August 2013 and their projections may have, in some cases, changed until the publication date. 2) Figures 3.12 does not contain information on the demand breakdown between RCI and power generation in Austria as this is not available. 3) The Hungarian RCI data also contains the gas forecast demand of power generation facilities connected to the distribution system.

Romania

600 500 200 100 300 400

2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 0

0

RCI

Power generation

Peak daily demand

Evolution of annual demand (%): 0.0 RCI / Power / Total (%): 0 / 0 / 0 Evolution of peak demand (%): 0

60,000 GWh/y

500 450 400 350 300 GWh/d

Slovakia

50,000

40,000

30,000

100 150 200 250

20,000

10,000

0 50

2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 0

Power generation

Peak daily demand

RCI

Evolution of annual demand (%): -13.0 RCI / Power / Total (%):

-3 / 14 / -13

Evolution of peak demand (%):

10

GWh/d

25,000 GWh/y

Slovenia

120

100

20,000

80

15,000

60

10,000

40

5,000

20

2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 0

0

Power generation

Peak daily demand

RCI

Evolution of annual demand (%): 64.2 RCI / Power / Total (%):

19 / 643 / 64

Evolution of peak demand (%):

63

Southern Corridor GRIP 2014–2023 |

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