2040 Comprehensive Plan: Envision Shakopee
FIGURE 4.31 - TAZMAP - SCOTT COUNTY
212
ASSUMEDGROWTH PATTERNS
EDEN PRAIRIE
BLOOMINGTON
M i n n e s o t a R i v e r
CARVERCOUNTY SCOTTCOUNTY HENNEPINCO
Blue Lake
CHASKA
62
101
63
74
Fisher Lake
1
73
52
53
54
4thAve.
35
28 29
Inputs to the Scott County TDM model include Met Council’s Thrive MSP 2040 demographic forecasts for Scott County communities. These forecasts include overall population, number of households and total employment. The assumed growth in each of these demographics for Shakopee are shown in the table below.
6
64
7
55
36
37
56
57
30
58
31
8
70
2
9
65
66
Rice Lake 76
10
71
32
38
33
11
48
10thAve. 13 12
39
59
60
14
34
67
69
72
3
49
218
68
40
41
15
26
20
21
69
16
61
50
27
42
4
51
17
24
223
219
220
JACKSON
224
228
43
44
18
45
91
225
22
19
23
90
92
25
46
169
47
226
246
16
257
227
247
83
84
251
221
85
252
229
235
86
21
5
258
234
253
93
242
243
215
248
259
254
222
216
SAVAGE
260
87
230
41
CanterburyRoad
94
88
217
244
231
255
249
MarschallRoad 245
261
262
236
256
89
95
250
210
263
110
211
101
212
264
Total Employment
269
265
233
232
237
98
96
238
102
111
JACKSON
Population Households
213
103
214
270
278
274
206
279
275
281
104
105
112
271
207
99
106
204
208
209
97
205
107
239
113
108
109
100
143
129
266
139
136
140
144
145
146
147
148
137
199
Existing (2014)
39,188
13,451
18,481
196
200
LowerPrior Lake
149
280
272
276
277
131
240
282
273
241
141
1
283
153
LOUISVILLE
150
151
138
142
13
135
267
154
201
202
203
515
Forecast (2040)
198
197
152
520
521
516
59,350
21,520
32,800
287
288
289
284
285
286
155
268
52
194
517
523
513
518
191
524
187
514
156
192
UpperPrior Lake 195
SAND CREEK
157
188
158
159
510
175
160
NORTH
183
176
193
525
163
290
184
297
299
296
189
161
185 FIGURE 4.32 - TAZMAP -MET COUNCIL 180 177 179 583 178 165 168 190
291
511
164
162
52
166
306
These figures differ from those found in previous sections of this Plan on account that these forecasts were made in 2014 and will be updated to match forecasts in this Plan following approval from the Met Council and adoption by the city. Both models assume an increase in the total population of Shakopee, although they show different shifts in where people are living within the community. From an employment standpoint, both models are based on an assumed growth in total employment in Shakopee. The Met Council TDM concentrates most of the employment growth in the Valley Industrial Office Park area and the West End area, whereas the Scott County TDM is based on more specific employment growth assumptions. The following pages include maps displaying TAZ forecast changes for the planning area from the TDM conducted by Scott County and by the Met Council. The aggregate data will be found in tabular format in the appendix and include breakdowns by decade to 2040.
167
212
512
526
170
292
169
300
490
298
491
493
509
181
182
293
307
182 EDEN PRAIRIE
171 BLOOMINGTON
M i n n e s o t a R i v e r
CARVERCOUNTY SCOTTCOUNTY HENNEPINCO
Blue Lake
CHASKA
2131
101
2131
2134
Fisher Lake
2134
2116
2130
2130
2130
4thAve.
2125
2124 2124 2124 2124
2117
2132
2117
2130
2125
2125
2130
2130
2130
2116
2117
2133
2117
2132
2132
Rice Lake
2133
2117
2124 2124
2125
2124
2118
2129
10thAve. 2118 2118
2125
2130
2130
2118
2132
69
2133
2116
2132
2168
2129
2126
2126
2123
2119
2120
2120
2132
2135
2119
2130
2116
2126
2129
2123
2129
2119
2169
2168
2122
2168
JACKSON
2169
2170
2127
2127
2119
2128
2138
2169
2119
2121
2138
2138
2122
2121
2128
169
2128
2169
2175
16
2177
2169
2175
2137
213
2176
2137
2168
2176
2170
2172
2137
21
2116
2177
2172
2176
2138
2174
2174
2167
2175
2177
2176
2168
2167
SAVAGE
2177
2137
2171
41
CanterburyRoad
2138
2137
2167
2174
2171
2176
2175
MarschallRoad 2174
2177
2177
2172
2176
2137
2138
2
2175
2166
2177
2166
2143
2141
2166
2178
2179
2178
2171
2171
2173
2140
2139
2173
2141
2143
JACKSON
2166
2141
2166
2181
2180
2165
2181
2180
2182
2141
2142
2143
2179
2165
2140
2142
2179
2164
2165
2165
2139
2164
2142
2173
2143
2142
2142
2140
2152
2148
2178
2151
2150
2151
2152
2152
2152
2152
2152
2150
2163
2152
LowerPrior Lake
2162
2163
2181
2179
2180
2180
2173
2182
2149
2179
2173
2151
2
2182
2153
LOUISVILLE
2152
2152
2150
2151
21
2149
2178
2153
2163
2163
2163
2245
2162
2162
2152
2246
2246
2245
2184
2184
2184
2183
2183
2183
2153
2178
224
2245
2160
2246
2244
2245
2161
2246
2160
2159
2244
2153
UpperPrior Lake 2161
SAND CREEK
2153
2159
2154
2154
2243
2156
2154
NORTH
2158
2156
2160
2247
2155
2185
2158
2186
2187
2186
2159
2154
2159
2185
2156
2243
2155
2154
2156
2155
22
2155
2191
2157
2157
2155
2243
2155
2156
2247
2185
2155
2158
2155
2187
2234
2186
2234
2242
2157
2157
2235
2185
2157
2155
2191
239
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