Envision Shakopee

FIGURE 4.31 - TAZMAP - SCOTT COUNTY

212

ASSUMEDGROWTH PATTERNS

E D E N P R A I R I E

B L O O M I N G T O N

i

R

v

t a

i n n e s o

e

r

CARVER COUNTY SCOTT COUNTY

Blue Lake

M

C H A S K A

HENNEPIN CO

62

101

63

74

Fisher Lake

1

73

52

53

54

4th Ave.

35

29 28

Inputs to the Scott County TDM model include Met Council’s Thrive MSP 2040 demographic forecasts for Scott County communities. These forecasts include overall population, number of households and total employment. The assumed growth in each of these demographics for Shakopee are shown in the table below.

6

64

7

55

36

37

56

57

30

58

31

8

70

2

9

65

66

Rice Lake 76

10

71

32

38

33

11

48

10th Ave. 13 12

39

59

60

14

34

67

69

72

3

49

218

68

40

41

15

26

20

21

69

16

61

50

27

42

4

51

17

24

223

219

220

J A C K S O N

224

228

43

44

18

45

91

225

22

19

23

90

92

25

46

169

47

226

246

16

257

227

247

83

84

251

221

85

252

229

235

86

21

5

258

234

253

93

242

243

215

248

259

254

222

216

S A V A G E

260

87

230

41

Canterbury Road

94

88

217

244

231

255

249

Marschall Road 245

261

262

236

256

89

95

1

250

210

263

110

211

101

212

264

Total Employment

269

265

233

232

237

98

96

238

102

111

Population

Households

J A C K S O N

213

103

214

270

278

274

206

279

275

281

104

105

112

271

207

99

106

204

208

209

97

205

107

239

113

108

109

100

1

143

129

266

139

136

140

144

145

146

147

148

137

199

Existing (2014)

39,188

13,451

18,481

196

200

Lower Prior Lake

149

280

272

276

277

131

240

282

273

241

141

13

283

153

L O U I S V I L L E

150

151

138

142

134

135

267

154

201

202

203

Forecast (2040)

515

198

197

152

520

521

516

59,350

21,520

32,800

287

288

289

284

285

286

155

268

522

194

517

523

513

518

191

524

187

514

156

192

Upper Prior Lake 195

S A N D C R E E K

157

188

158

159

510

175

160

NORTH

183

176

193

525

163

290

184

297

299

296

189

161

185 FIGURE 4.32 - TAZMAP -MET COUNCIL 180 177 179 583 178 165 168 190

291

511

164

162

527

166

306

These figures differ from those found in previous sections of this Plan on account that these forecasts were made in 2014 and will be updated to match forecasts in this Plan following approval from the Met Council and adoption by the city. Both models assume an increase in the total population of Shakopee, although they show different shifts in where people are living within the community. From an employment standpoint, both models are based on an assumed growth in total employment in Shakopee. The Met Council TDM concentrates most of the employment growth in the Valley Industrial Office Park area and the West End area, whereas the Scott County TDM is based on more specific employment growth assumptions. The following pages include maps displaying TAZ forecast changes for the planning area from the TDM conducted by Scott County and by the Met Council. The aggregate data will be found in tabular format in the appendix and include breakdowns by decade to 2040.

167

212

512

526

170

292

169

300

490

298

491

493

509

181

182

293

307

182 E D E N P R A I R I E

171 B L O O M I N G T O N

i

R

v

t a

i n n e s o

e

r

CARVER COUNTY SCOTT COUNTY

Blue Lake

M

C H A S K A

HENNEPIN CO

2131

101

2131

2134

Fisher Lake

2134

2116

2130

2130

2130

4th Ave.

2125

2124 2124 2124 2124

2117

2132

2117

2130

2125

2125

2130

2130

2130

2116

2117

2133

2117

2132

2132

Rice Lake

2133

2117

2124 2124

2125

2124

2118

2129

10th Ave. 2118 2118

2125

2130

2130

2118

2132

69

2133

2116

2132

2168

2129

2126

2126

2123

2119

2120

2120

2132

2135

2119

2130

2116

2126

2129

2123

2129

2119

2169

2168

2122

2168

J A C K S O N

2169

2170

2127

2127

2119

2128

2138

2169

2

2119

2121

2138

2138

2122

2121

2128

169

2128

2169

2175

16

2177

2169

2175

2137

2137

2176

2137

2168

2176

2170

2172

2137

21

2116

2177

2172

2176

2138

2174

2174

2167

2175

2177

2176

2168

2167

S A V A G E

2177

2137

2171

41

Canterbury Road

2138

2137

2167

2174

2171

2176

2175

Marschall Road 2174

2177

2177

2172

2176

2137

2138

21

2175

2166

2177

2166

2143

2141

2166

2178

2179

2178

2171

2171

2173

2140

2139

2173

2141

2143

J A C K S O N

2166

2141

2166

2181

2180

2165

2181

2180

2182

2141

2142

2143

2179

2165

2140

2142

2179

2164

2165

2165

2139

2164

2142

2173

2143

2142

2142

2140

2

2152

2148

2178

2151

2150

2151

2152

2152

2152

2152

2152

2150

2163

2

2152

Lower Prior Lake

2162

2163

2181

2179

2180

2180

2173

2182

2149

2179

2173

2151

21

2182

2153

L O U I S V I L L E

2152

2152

2150

2151

214

2149

2178

2153

2163

2163

2163

2245

2162

2162

2152

2246

2246

2245

2184

2184

2184

2183

2183

2183

2153

2178

224

2245

2160

2246

2244

2245

2161

2246

2160

2159

2244

2153

Upper Prior Lake 2161

S A N D C R E E K

2153

2159

2154

2154

2243

2156

2154

NORTH

2158

2156

2160

2247

2155

2185

2158

2186

2187

2186

2159

2154

2159

2185

2156

2243

2155

2154

2156

2155

224

2155

2191

2157

2157

2155

2243

2155

2156

2247

2185

2155

2158

2155

2187

2234

2186

2234

2242

2157

2157

2235

2185

2157

2155

2191

239