"A risk assessment of the Piql Services" by FFI

Profile of actor (if intentional)

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A forest fire is an uncontrolled fire occurring in nature. These are more difficult to get under control than room fires and therefore last for longer periods of time. The urban/rural interface is a location where buildings are more vulnerable to forest fires than in a city, due to the close proximity to the wooded areas.

Description of cause

Competence and resources (if intentional)

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User/value

User class

Public non-sensitive.

User type

The National Archive.

Value

Various historically and culturally important documents preserved for documentational purposes, stored for the preservation of the collective cultural memories of a society and important records of past times. Though the sensitivity of the information is not high in the sense that it is confidential, its value is still very high. The rarest artefacts are stored in a mountain hall, but many documents are also stored aboveground.

Location

Geographical zone: North (Northern Europe). The continent’s landscape is marked by mountainous areas and flat, wide expanses and river valleys with much vegetation. The developmental level of the continent is high and the political climate is stable. The piqlVault is situated in an urban area, though in the urban/rural interface right on the edge of a forested area. The scenario takes place in the future, 2158. The time period is 0- 100/500 years, as the value is documentational records. The scenario is a risk for the present as well, but the scale and ferocity of the forest fire in this scenario presupposes a change in climate patterns. The climate zone is temperate. It is summer, in the middle of August, and the local weather conditions are hot and dry: 36° Celsius with a relative humidity of 41 %. These abnormally high temperature levels and low relative humidity levels have persisted for weeks. The wooded areas surrounding the city are extremely dry, and the government have issued statements urging hikers to beware the dangers of causing a forest fire. One such hiker is unobservant and starts a fire which quickly gets out of control. The

Location description

Environment description

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FFI-RAPPORT 16/00707