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26
FFI-RAPPORT 16/00707
Zone Example
regions
Climate
Developmental
level
Political
stability
NORTH
North America
(US, Canada),
Europe (Including
Russia),
East Asia (China,
Japan).
Temperate and
subarctic
. Annual mean
temperature (approx.):
10°C.
Possible hazards:
Earthquake, volcanic
activity, flood,
hurricane, tornado,
tsunami, drought with
extreme (high) temps,
blizzards with extreme
(low) temps, avalanche.
High
. Strong economy,
sophisticated infrastructure, stable
energy supply (generators readily
available), high standard on road
network, sophisticated Ecom
networks, high degree of law and
order, proper crisis management.
Possible hazards/threats: Loss of
utilities (seldom), theft, espionage
(many attractive targets),
sabotage (many attractive
targets).
High
. High degree of
accountability to population (-
China, Russia), absence of
violence/terrorism (-China,
Russia, US, parts of Europe), high
government effectiveness (-
Russia), rule of law (-China,
Russia), control of corruption (-
China, Russia). Very stable
borders.
Possible threats: Terrorism
(seldom), insider theft in low-
scoring countries.
MIDDLE
Northern Africa
(The Sahara, the
Sahel, Sub-
Saharan Africa),
Middle East,
Indian
subcontinent.
Subtropical
. Annual
mean temperature
(approx.): 25°C.
Possible hazards: Sand
storms, extreme (high)
temps, flood, hurricane,
volcanic activity,
earthquake.
Medium/low
(yet pockets of
higher levels within countries).
Weak economy (-Saudi Arabia),
poorly developed infrastructure,
highly unstable energy supply in
certain countries (few generators
available), low standard on road
network, poorly developed Ecom
networks, medium degree of law
and order, unsatisfactory level of
crisis management.
Possible hazards/threats: Loss of
utilities (high), loss of
communications (high), theft.
Low.
Low degree of
accountability to population,
incidents of violence/terrorism,
low government effectiveness (-
Saudi Arabia, Oman), little rule of
law (- Saudi Arabia, Oman), poor
control of corruption (- Saudi
Arabia, Oman). Potentially
unstable borders.
Possible threats: Unstable borders,
war, terrorism, theft.
SOUTH
South America
Southeast Asia
Southern Africa
Australia
Tropical
. Annual mean
temperature (approx.):
20°C.
Possible hazards: Flood,
hurricane, extreme
(high) temps,
earthquake, volcanic
activity.
Medium.
Growing economy,
adequate infrastructure, adequate
energy supply, medium transport
networks (fewer roads than
railways), adequately developed
Ecom networks, good degree of
law and order, ok crisis
management.
Possible hazards/threats: Loss of
utilities (medium), loss of
communications (medium), theft,
espionage (some attractive
targets), sabotage (some attractive
target).
Medium.
Medium degree of
accountability to population
(worse in Southeast Asia), some
incidents of violence/terrorism (-
Botswana), adequate government
effectiveness (- Argentina,
Bolivia, Peru, India, Indonesia),
low rule of law (better in Chile,
Brazil, Botswana, South Africa,
Namibia, India), problems with
control of corruption (fewer in
Chile, Uruguay, Brazil, Namibia,
Botswana, SA). Stable borders.
Possible threats: Terrorism, theft.
Table 5.1
Geographical zones. Sources: [19, 20, 21, 22]