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26

FFI-RAPPORT 16/00707

Zone Example

regions

Climate

Developmental

level

Political

stability

NORTH

North America

(US, Canada),

Europe (Including

Russia),

East Asia (China,

Japan).

Temperate and

subarctic

. Annual mean

temperature (approx.):

10°C.

Possible hazards:

Earthquake, volcanic

activity, flood,

hurricane, tornado,

tsunami, drought with

extreme (high) temps,

blizzards with extreme

(low) temps, avalanche.

High

. Strong economy,

sophisticated infrastructure, stable

energy supply (generators readily

available), high standard on road

network, sophisticated Ecom

networks, high degree of law and

order, proper crisis management.

Possible hazards/threats: Loss of

utilities (seldom), theft, espionage

(many attractive targets),

sabotage (many attractive

targets).

High

. High degree of

accountability to population (-

China, Russia), absence of

violence/terrorism (-China,

Russia, US, parts of Europe), high

government effectiveness (-

Russia), rule of law (-China,

Russia), control of corruption (-

China, Russia). Very stable

borders.

Possible threats: Terrorism

(seldom), insider theft in low-

scoring countries.

MIDDLE

Northern Africa

(The Sahara, the

Sahel, Sub-

Saharan Africa),

Middle East,

Indian

subcontinent.

Subtropical

. Annual

mean temperature

(approx.): 25°C.

Possible hazards: Sand

storms, extreme (high)

temps, flood, hurricane,

volcanic activity,

earthquake.

Medium/low

(yet pockets of

higher levels within countries).

Weak economy (-Saudi Arabia),

poorly developed infrastructure,

highly unstable energy supply in

certain countries (few generators

available), low standard on road

network, poorly developed Ecom

networks, medium degree of law

and order, unsatisfactory level of

crisis management.

Possible hazards/threats: Loss of

utilities (high), loss of

communications (high), theft.

Low.

Low degree of

accountability to population,

incidents of violence/terrorism,

low government effectiveness (-

Saudi Arabia, Oman), little rule of

law (- Saudi Arabia, Oman), poor

control of corruption (- Saudi

Arabia, Oman). Potentially

unstable borders.

Possible threats: Unstable borders,

war, terrorism, theft.

SOUTH

South America

Southeast Asia

Southern Africa

Australia

Tropical

. Annual mean

temperature (approx.):

20°C.

Possible hazards: Flood,

hurricane, extreme

(high) temps,

earthquake, volcanic

activity.

Medium.

Growing economy,

adequate infrastructure, adequate

energy supply, medium transport

networks (fewer roads than

railways), adequately developed

Ecom networks, good degree of

law and order, ok crisis

management.

Possible hazards/threats: Loss of

utilities (medium), loss of

communications (medium), theft,

espionage (some attractive

targets), sabotage (some attractive

target).

Medium.

Medium degree of

accountability to population

(worse in Southeast Asia), some

incidents of violence/terrorism (-

Botswana), adequate government

effectiveness (- Argentina,

Bolivia, Peru, India, Indonesia),

low rule of law (better in Chile,

Brazil, Botswana, South Africa,

Namibia, India), problems with

control of corruption (fewer in

Chile, Uruguay, Brazil, Namibia,

Botswana, SA). Stable borders.

Possible threats: Terrorism, theft.

Table 5.1

Geographical zones. Sources: [19, 20, 21, 22]