ENTSOG TYNDP 2017 - Main Report

6.3.2.5 EU supply mixes

On annual basis The TYNDP analyses the impact of contrasted EU supply mixes on the EU supply and demand balance and gas infrastructure. This is achieved through supply configurations intended at maximising or respectively minimising specific supply sources such as Russian gas and LNG. The results relate to the supply potentials retained for the different sources, as presented in the Supply chapter. The next figure shows the EU annual supply and demand balance for the years 2017, 2020 and 2030 for these contrasted supply mixes and the range for each supply source. At EU-level, the low infrastructure level allows each source to reach its maximum potential, under the corresponding contrasted supply mix. At country-level, some infrastructure limitations exist. They are identified in other parts of this chapter. The infrastructure in the Low infrastructure level also provides high flexibility at EU-level. This is shown by the wide range of possible supply mixes. This can be mainly observed on the long run, where the supply flexibilities are wider in line with the retained supply potentials (see Supply chapter for more details). The tomorrow as today approach retained for supply potentials for the specific 2017 time horizon results in a lower supply flexibility. While in the Blue Transition scenario the higher demand leads to high imports and less flexibility on the supply mixes, in the EU Green Revolution the possible import variability is increased. The low infrastructure level does not allow the internal market to make full use of the Romanian indigenous production over the whole time horizon.

Image courtesy of GAZ-SYSTEM

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Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2017 Main Report