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MARCH, 1913]

The Gazette of the Incorporated Law Society of Ireland.

103

EXAMPLE B.

Showing an Average Return of

£4 9s.

Id.

per cent.

Return

per cent.

1. Argentine Govt. 4% Bonds,

1908, at 84

...

' ...

... £4 15

2

2. Brazil Govt. 4% 1910 Loan,

at 82

...

...

...

...

4 17

6

3. Chesapeake and Ohio Rly. 4i%

20-year

Convertible

Gold

Bonds, at 95 ...

...

...

4 14

8

4. Minneapolis. St. Paul and Sault

Ste. Marie Rly 4% 1st Mort

gage Gold Bonds,' at 100

...

4

0

0

5. Prussian 3i% Consols, at 87 ...

4

0

5

AVERAGE—£4 9s. 7d. per cent.

4. Buenos Ayres and Pacific Rly.

5% (1912) Deb. Stock, at 106

4

5. Argentine Gt. Western Rly. 5%

Deb. Stock, at 111

...

.'..

4 10

AVERAGE—£4 16s. 9d. per cent.

14

4

EXAMPLE C.

Showing an Average Return of

£4 16s. lOd.

•per cent.

\.

Chilian Govt. 5% 1896 Loan,

at 100...

...

...

... £"5

0

0

2. Chinese Imperial Rly. 5% Gold

Loan, at 97

...

...

...

5

3

1

3. Brazilian Govt. Rlys. Rescission

4% Bonds, at 83

...

...

4 16

4

In each of the three foregoing groups it is

assumed that an equal sum is invested in

each security named.

Some cautious investors might possibly

make the following criticism on the fore

going lists. They include :-—

(a)

Irredeemable stocks likely to decline

in capital value.

(b)

Redeemable stocks the present price

of which is par, so there is no

margin for appreciation in capital

The importance of investment of Capital

Moneys

in definite Redeemable Securities

without option, within certain dates, cannot be

over estimated.

The course of

low yielding perpetual

securities during the last 20 years has clearly

established the tendency to heavy decline in

capital value.

The following table will give a few examples

of the decline in gilt-edged securities between

the years 1901 and the present time :—

1901

I

Average

Price

f s.

d.

Consols, 2i%

...

...

...

...

...

94 13

9

Indian 3% (1948)

...

...

...

...

...

100

1

3

London County, 2i%

...

...

...

...

8617

6

Liverpool, 3|-%

...

...

...

...

...

117

5

0

Canada 3%, 1938

...

...

...

...

...

100 15

0

British Columbia 3% (1941)

...

...

...

92

6

3

German Imperial. 3%

...

...

...

...

88

7

6

Caledonian Rlv. 4% Debs.

...

...

...

;

135

5

0

Gt. Northern 3% Debs.

...

...

...

...

'

100

0

0

London & Nth. Western 3% Debentures

...

103

5

0

i

1913

Mid. Feb.

Prices

£

s. d.

74 10

0

76 10

0

66 10

0

97

0

0

86

0

0

81

0

0

76

0

0

102

0

0

70

0

0

77

0

0

Capital

Loss

£

s. d.

20

3

9

23 11

3

20

7

6

20

5

0

14 15

0

11

6

3

12

7

6

33

5

0

24

0

0

26

5

0

£1018 16

3 £812 10

0

i£206

6

3

AN AVERAGE Loss OF OVER 20 PER CENT.

Even in this List there are two definitely

redeemable securities. These are included to

show that they are also subject to temporary

decline, owing to

the remoteness of the

due date ;

but these stocks will improve as

they approach maturity, and ultimately, of

course, the capital value will be paid off at

par, so that there will be no final loss on the

investment.

In the 'case of irredeemable securities there