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C ONOM IC R

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4. The Business Environment

In Sum

m ar

y

T

he last year has seen signiĮcant changes to the ďusiness

e nv ir onm

e nt w it

h in w

h ich t

h

e oil and gas indust

r

y op

e

r at

e s.

ommodity Ɖrices and Ɖolitical and regulatory issues, most

notaďly redžit, haǀe dominated the agenda͘ Against this ďacŬdroƉ,

industry has Ɖursued eĸciency imƉroǀements aimed at driǀing

transĨormational change͘

solatility in oil and gas marŬets has continued oǀer the Įrst sidž months

oĨ this year, although there are some signs oĨ oil Ɖrice recoǀery Ĩrom

t

h

e r

e ce nt low s of 2016 . T

h

e av

e

r age dat

e d Br

e nt p

r ice w as

ϯ0 Ɖer cent higher oǀer the Įrst halĨ oĨ this year than in the same

p

e

r iod last y

e ar . T

h

e longe

r

-

t

e

r

m out look for oil p

r ice s r

e

m ains

unƉredictaďle, ǁith the maũor uncertainty ďeing the resilience oĨ

suƉƉly Ĩolloǁing the gloďal reduction in inǀestment͘

T

h

e av

e

r age NBP day

- ah

e ad gas p

r ice w as 40 p

e

r ce nt h igh

e

r ov

e

r t

h

e

Įrst halĨ oĨ 2017 than it ǁas last year, ďut the Ɖrice has droƉƉed ďacŬ

since͘ Although demand Ĩor gas is Ĩorecast to continue to rise oǀer

the nedžt decade, the Ɖace oĨ groǁth ǁill not match that oĨ suƉƉly in

a marŬet ǁhere Ɖroduction costs haǀe Ĩallen raƉidly oǀer recent years͘

Br

e

x it b

r ings anot

h

e

r m acr o-

e conom ic unce

r

t aint

y int o p lay t

h at

ǁill ďe considered ǁhen inǀestors are assessing oƉƉortunities on

the UK ^͘ In the shortͲterm, the ǁeaŬening oĨ ^terling in resƉonse

to redžit ǁas Ɖositiǀe Ĩor many oil and gas comƉanies, Ɖarticularly

p

r oduce

r s w it

h a local cost b ase and sup

p ly ch ain com

p anie s w it

h a

ƉroƉensity to edžƉort͘ ,oǁeǀer, in the long term, there are still a ǁide

range oĨ Ɖotential aƉƉroaches to hoǁ the UK ǁill leaǀe the U, each

ǁith diīerent imƉlications Ĩor the oil and gas industry͘ Oil & Gas UK,

on ďehalĨ oĨ its memďers, has emƉhasised to goǀernment the need to

maintain a strong ǀoice in uroƉe, enaďle continued Ĩrictionless access

to marŬets and laďour, and to Ɖrotect energy trading and the internal

e ne

r gy m ar ke

t .

sets out aspirations

for the industry

The average

Brent oil price was

30%

higher over the first half

of this year than the

same period last year

of the UK’s energy mix

will still come from oil

and gas by 2035

By the end of 2018

over

of total production

will come from start-ups

post-2016

2

/

3

1

/

3

E conomic R eport 2 017

- F acts and F igures

sets out aspirations

for the industry

The oil and gas industry

supports over

T e average

Brent oil price was

30%

higher over the first half

of this year th n the

same period last year

The UK Government

forecasts that

of the UK’s energy mix

will still come from oil

and gas by 2035

The average NBP

day-ahead gas price was

over the first half of

2017 than the same

period last year

The industry could

deliver hundreds

of billions of pounds

in additional revenue

to the UK by 2035

300,000 jobs

in the UK

2

/

3

40%

higher

omic R port 2 017

nd F igures

The oil and gas industry

supports over

The cost of industry

trade could increase

by as much as

per annum if the UK

reverts to World Trade

Krganinjation rules

£500

million

The average

Brent oil price w s

30%

higher over the first half

of this year than the

same period last year

The UK Government

forecasts t at

of the UK’s energy mix

will still come from oil

and gas by 2035

The average NBP

day-ahead gas price w s

over the first half of

2017 than the same

period last year

The industry could

Every £1 million of

industry expenditure

sustained around

17 jobs across the UK

economy last year

300,000 jobs

in the UK

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/

3

40%

higher

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