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Step 1:

Construct the

a priori

probability density

p

(

x

) for

the temperature distribution:

The integral must be unity.

d

p x x



( )d

T

T

p x x C x

D

D



 

1

( )

for

2

( ) 0 otherwise

p x

T

x

T

p x

D

D

D

   

5.2

2

C

D

1

2

C

D

otherwise

0 )

(

ΔTxΔT for

)(



xp

C x

p