Background Image
Table of Contents Table of Contents
Previous Page  436 / 772 Next Page
Information
Show Menu
Previous Page 436 / 772 Next Page
Page Background

2

For these measures, the bloat ratio would seem to

have some useful predictive power, though I would

not put it on par with the expense ratio.

It had less predictive power for alpha among

small caps.

For mid-caps, the least-bloated decile slightly outper-

formed the most-bloated decile, but the impact was

quite small. For large caps, no impact was apparent.

This makes sense as there is much less liquidity in

small caps than in mid-caps and large caps. A fund

would have to get enormous for bloat to be a

big problem in large caps. More commonly, we see

asset bloat become a modest handicap to which

a manager may adjust by moving up in market cap

and dialing down turnover. That can still be a

negative, and you never want to see a manager alter

his style to deal with asset bloat, but clearly the

impact is generally small.

Biggest Increases in Bloat Ratio

Let’s look at some of the large changes in bloat ratio,

beginning with those where it went up.

By far the largest boost came at

Meridian Growth

MERDX

, where bloat rose to

3

.

034

in March

2015

from

0

.

976

in December

2013

, ranking in the top

5%

of small-growth bloat ratios. The leap was due to

the portfolio overhaul instituted by Arrowpoint’s Chad

Meade and Brian Schaub. The pair likes to run a

focused portfolio, as this jump has made clear. The

good news is that Meade and Schaub vow to close

the fund well before it reaches the peak that their pre-

vious fund,

Janus Triton

JATTX

, did. As the bloat

ratio indicates, this is a strategy that is sensitive to

size. In fact,

Janus Venture

JAVTX

had a

4

.

8

bloat

ratio when they left, so they haven’t yet come close

to the extreme position they were in before.

Longleaf Partners Small-Cap

LLSCX

is a different

case. Its bloat ratio rose to

4

.

48

, or top

2%

of the cate-

gory, from

2

.

95

despite the fact that it has been

closed for many years and has even been in outflows.

In this case, the rise was spurred by a rally in top

holdings like

Graham Holdings

GHC

,

Level 3 Commu-

When Funds Get Bloated

Continued From Cover

Large Caps Over All Time Periods

Bloat Ratio

Decile

Average

Bloat Ratio

Success

Ratio

Average 5-Yr

Gross Return

Average

5-Yr Alpha

Average 5-Yr

Info Ratio

Average 5-Yr

Rating

1

0.0030

36.89

9.38

0.24

0.09

2.97

2

0.0077

37.70

9.31

0.25

0.06

3.00

3

0.0125

38.28

9.14

0.39

0.09

2.87

4

0.0189

41.12

8.93

0.55

0.10

2.91

5

0.0288

42.67

8.96

0.45

0.09

2.98

6

0.0447

41.72

8.52

0.58

0.09

2.92

7

0.0684

43.46

9.05

0.89

0.13

2.97

8

0.1192

45.54

9.13

0.58

0.09

2.94

9

0.2272

45.07

8.79

0.39

0.07

2.75

10

1.0120

44.64

8.34

0.22

0.02

2.72

Mid-Caps Over All Time Periods

Bloat Ratio

Decile

Average

Bloat Ratio

Success

Ratio

Average 5-Yr

Gross Return

Average

5-Yr Alpha

Average 5-Yr

Info Ratio

Average 5-Yr

Rating

1

0.0165

41.96

10.75

1.72

0.34

3.00

2

0.0429

44.34

11.05

2.05

0.38

3.01

3

0.0717

37.38

11.46

2.05

0.39

3.08

4

0.1051

37.74

10.70

2.29

0.35

2.99

5

0.1516

38.46

10.86

1.84

0.33

2.94

6

0.2176

42.59

10.63

1.83

0.28

2.86

7

0.3094

37.50

10.30

1.62

0.29

2.99

8

0.4571

44.34

10.55

1.82

0.29

2.96

9

0.7890

46.73

10.25

1.75

0.28

2.86

10

1.9489

38.61

9.36

1.36

0.23

2.79

Small Caps Over All Time Periods

Bloat Ratio

Decile

Average

Bloat Ratio

Success

Ratio

Average 5-Yr

Gross Return

Average

5-Yr Alpha

Average 5-Yr

Info Ratio

Average 5-Yr

Rating

1

0.0573

43.08

11.51

1.52

0.31

3.04

2

0.1222

33.86

11.43

1.57

0.30

2.93

3

0.1803

40.65

11.69

1.86

0.33

3.14

4

0.2493

36.51

10.35

1.66

0.26

2.81

5

0.3395

42.86

11.04

1.83

0.29

2.92

6

0.4502

41.46

11.38

1.81

0.31

2.91

7

0.6135

55.91

10.87

2.19

0.33

3.05

8

0.8442

42.40

10.99

1.43

0.26

2.85

9

1.3586

35.77

9.92

1.52

0.21

2.70

10

3.2768

35.00

10.04

1.64

0.23

2.69

Bloat/Alpha-Info Ratio Study—Bloat Ratio Deciles with subsequent 5-Yr Return, 5-Yr Alpha, 5-Yr Info Ratio, 5-Yr Rating, and Success

Ratio—All data through year-end 2014. 5-Yr Return, Alpha, and Information Ratio based on Gross Returns—Alpha and Info Ratio

use Morningstar Category Benchmark Index. Exclusions—bloat ratio over 100, funds with assets less than $100 million—Funds

had to be around the entire year to be included. 5-Yr ranks based on beginning time period category. Data through 12/31/2014.

How Bloat Works in Small, Mid-, and Large Caps