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5

Projected seasonality* change**

Percentage points

*Precipitation of the

wettest consecutive

three months divided by

annual precipitation

PERU

ECUADOR

COLOMBIA

VENEZUELA

BOLIVIA

PERU

ECUADOR

COLOMBIA

VENEZUELA

BOLIVIA

PERU

ECUADOR

COLOMBIA

VENEZUELA

BOLIVIA

PERU

ECUADOR

COLOMBIA

VENEZUELA

BOLIVIA

PERU

ECUADOR

COLOMBIA

VENEZUELA

BOLIVIA

PERU

ECUADOR

COLOMBIA

VENEZUELA

BOLIVIA

0 -10 -20 -40

10 20 40

Percentage

Seasonality*

Percentage

2.5

3.0 3.5

4.0

˚C

0

500

1000

2000 4000

3000 5000

Millimetres

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

˚C

Annual temperature distribution

Annual rainfall distribution

30 0

40 60 80 100

-10 0 -5 1 2 3 4 5 7

Sources:

worldclim.org

. Maps have

been produced within the SMD4GC

program at UZH (Switzerland)

Projection for

2061-2080

RCP 8.5

Projection for

2061-2080

RCP 8.5

Projection for

2061-2080

RCP 8.5

1950-2000

1950-2000

1950-2000

*Climate models

agree well on

direction of change

*Agreement

between climate

models can be low

*Agreement

between climate

models can be low

Climate change in the Tropical Andes

Projected precipitation change

Projected temperature change*