Contractor’s Report
to CalRecycle
32
2012 Diversion Two-Year
Category
Diversion
Basis for Outlook
Million Percent
Outlook
PTE
Three landfills previously using ADC say use is
down and/or has been discontinued,
Flat or
ADC
1.0
2.3%
suggesting flat or declining use in near future.
Declining
Additional CE demand may divert tires from
this low-value use.
All four California cement kilns that use TDF
say demand is expected to increase as
cement production increases with an
improving economy.
Growth
TDF
7.7 17.2%
Two cement kilns cite concerns over tire
Expected
supply or pricing, but this is not expected to
impact use much.
Cogeneration demand will remain zero since
the last such facility using TDF closed in 2012.
Demand for waste tire bales/shreds in China
has plateaued, while demand for processed
TDF, especially in Japan and Korea remains
Export
15.3 34.4% Declining
strong. Overall, total waste tire and TDF
exports are expected to decline from the 2012
peak in the near term.
Export demand has declined from the 2011
Total
Flat or
peak. Increased diversion in TDF and TDA is
41.7 92.7%
Diversion
Declining
expected while the trend is uncertain for
ground rubber and reuse demand is flat.
Long-Term Diversion Outlook
The market size and penetration estimates in Table 4 broadly describe the long-term opportunities
to expand waste tire diversion. The theoretical market size figures are rough estimates that were
developed in 2008. The market size estimates for used tires have increased somewhat, and now
combine both exported and domestic used tire sales. No specific maximum market size for waste
tire and tire-derived fuel exports is provided. However, global waste tire market demand far
exceeds California generation, as described in Section 4.
