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- The ideal predictive model should:

Adequately fit the data (no under or overfit !)

Giving correct predictions outside the original

(training) data set on new (validation) data sets

More external validations means more confidence

in applying the model (…and negative results

reduce it)

Different degrees of generalization of the model

based on the type of validation (range of doses,

delivery technique, temporal, geographical,……)

Heavy lacks of available predictive models with

(satisfactory) external validation !

Need of much more efforts to accomplish accurate

and well assessed validation studies

Validating Phenomenological models: a key point

External validation