ENTSOG–GRIPSouth 2013–2022 |
77
Figure 6.27:
Capability for Supply Source DiversificationMethodology
“TargetedMaximisation” of source S to zone Z
Several simulations in all directions in order to test the supply reach from
source S
–
–
For each simulation, Source S is increased up to itsMaximum Potential
scenario with reduction of the others sources down to their Minimum
Potential Scenario, in order to achieve the targeted supply share in the
zone Z
Identification of supply sources each Zonemay have access
(simultaneity not tested)
according the 5% and 20% targeted supply share
Identification of the number of supply sources a zonemay have access according the 5% targeted supply share
1-day Average Situation
DEMAND
SUPPLY
6.4 Capability for SupplySource
Diversification
In the ENTSOG TYNDP 2013–2022, the assessment of the Supply Source
Diversificationaims at determining theability of eachZone toaccess each identified
supply source. It ismeasured by the number of sources inwhom a Zonemay have
physical access to covering at least 5% or 20% of its total supply.
Thisassessment isbasedon independent TargetedMaximisation simulationswhere
each source is sent one by one in direction of a particular Zone in order to check
source accessibility. This assessment does not cover the contractual access to a
given source or specificmarket conditions whichmay be independent from physi-
cal access but have an impact on source accessibility.
In the Figure 6.28 we can see the results obtained in the ENTSOG-TYNDP
2013–2022. It is highlighted the increment of supply sources in the SouthRegion
as a consequence of developing n-FID projects.
For the GRIP South Region, following the strategic concept of the North-South
Corridor inWesternEurope, i.e., to better interconnect theMediterranean area and
thus supplies from Africa and the Northern supply Corridor, with supplies from
Norway and Russia, we will focus our analysis in themaximization of Algerian gas
andRussian gas.
