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S58

ESTRO 36 2017

_______________________________________________________________________________________________

remained associated with rising PSA after salvage RT after

backward selection.

Conclusion

The results of the central pathology analyses reveal

concordant results for seminal vesicle invasion,

extraprostatic extension, positive surgical margin but

lower agreement for Gleason Score. Largest diameter of

carcinoma was found to be a potential prognostic factor

for rising PSA after salvage RT.

OC-0126 A gene expression assay to predict the risk of

distant metastases in localized prostate cancer.

S. Jain

1

, C. Lyons

1

, S. Walker

2

, S. McQuaid

1

, S. Hynes

3

, D.

Mitchell

4

, B. Pang

5

, G. Logan

2

, A. McCavigan

2

, D.

O'Rourke

6

, C. Davidson

1

, L. Knight

2

, A. Sheriff

7

, V. Berge

8

,

D. Neal

9

, H. Pandha

10

, R. Watson

11

, M. Mason

12

, E. Kay

13

,

D. Harkin

1

, J. James

1

, M. Salto-Tellez

1

, R. Kennedy

1

, J.

O'Sullivan

1

, D. Waugh

1

1

Queen's University Belfast, Centre for Cancer Research

and Cell Biology, Belfast, United Kingdom

2

Almac Diagnostics, Almac Diagnostics, Craigavon, United

Kingdom

3

University Hospital Galway, Department of Pathology,

Galway, Ireland

4

Belfast City Hospital, Northern Ireland Cancer Centre,

Belfast, United Kingdom

5

National University Cancer Institute- SIngapore,

Department of Pathology, Singapore, Singapore

6

Belfast City Hospital, Department of Pathology, Belfast,

United Kingdom

7

Umea University, Department of Surgical and

Perioperative Sciences- Urology and Andrology, Umea,

Sweden

8

Oslo University Hospital, Department of Urology, Oslo,

Norway

9

Cambridge Research Group, Uro-oncology Research

Goup, Cambridge, United Kingdom

10

University of Surrey, Department of Microbial Sciences,

Guildford, United Kingdom

11

University College Dublin, Conway Institute, Dublin,

Ireland

12

Cardiff University, Wales Cancer Bank, Cardiff, United

Kingdom

13

Beaumont Hospital, Centre for Systems Medicine,

Dublin, Ireland

Purpose or Objective

Approximately 20% of patients with organ confined

prostate cancer (PCa) will develop disease recurrence

following radical treatment (surgery or external beam

radiotherapy (EBRT)). We hypothesized that a molecular

subgroup of early PCa may have metastatic potential at

presentation, resulting in disease recurrence.

Material and Methods

Using unsupervised hierarchical clustering of gene

expression from a PCa dataset we identified a novel

molecular subgroup with a transcriptional profile similar

to metastatic disease. We developed a 70 gene expression

assay to prospectively identify patients within the

subgroup from formalin fixed and paraffin embedded

tissue (FFPE). Initial assessment found the assay to be

prognostic in three independent publicly available

prostatectomy datasets. We therefore assessed the

prognostic value of the assay in FFPE clinical samples

collected

from

multiple

international

sites.

FFPE tumor resections and tumor biopsy specimens were

obtained from 322 surgical patients and 248 patients

treated with EBRT. Regions of highest Gleason grade were

identified for macrodissection, RNA extraction and gene

expression analysis. Samples were dichotomized as

metastatic biology assay positive or negative using a pre-

specified cut-off. The association of assay results with

biochemical failure (BF) and distant metastases (DM) was

tested on multivariate (MVA).

Results

The assay was significantly associated with BF on MVA (HR

1.67 [1.16-2.38]; p=0.0059), (HR 2.26 [1.26-4.04];

p=0.0062) and DM on MVA (HR 3.39 [1.88-6.12]; p=0.0001),

(HR 3.26 [1.27-8.30]; p=0.0137) for surgery and EBRT

cohorts respectively. Importantly, in a combined model,

the assay demonstrated additional information to the

commonly used CAPRA clinical tool for prediction of DM,

HR 2.72 [2.10-3.51]; p<0.0001, and HR 2.72 [1.42-5.20];

p=0.0026 (Prostate Metastatic Assay combined with

CAPRA-S and CAPRA respectively).

Conclusion

The metastatic biology assay predicts BF and DM in PCa

patients treated with surgery or EBRT. The assay may help

to select patients at risk of metastatic disease for

additional treatment aimed at preventing disease

recurrence.

OC-0127 Individualized prediction of nodal

involvement based on Sentinel-node dissection of

prostate cancer

A.C. Müller

1

, D. Zips

1

, A. Ernst

1

, R. Bares

2

, P. Martus

3

, D.

Weckermann

4

, D. Schilling

5

, J. Bedke

5

, A. Stenzl

5

1

University Hospital Tübingen Eberhard Karls University

Tübingen, Radiation Oncology, Tübingen, Germany

2

University Hospital Tübingen Eberhard Karls University

Tübingen, Nuclear Medicine and Clinical Molecular

Imaging, Tübingen, Germany

3

University Hospital Tübingen Eberhard Karls University

Tübingen, Institute for Clinical Epidemiology and

Applied Biometry, Tübingen, Germany

4

Klinikum Augsburg, Urology, Augsburg, Germany

5

University Hospital Tübingen Eberhard Karls University

Tübingen, Urology, Tübingen, Germany

Purpose or Objective

The risk of nodal involvement in prostate cancer can be

estimated by the Roach formula. However, this formula

was criticized to overestimate nodal involvement and to

be based on the lesser accurate standard lymph node

dissection. The aim of this study was the development of

a new formula overcoming these limitations and to

individualize the decision of pelvic treatment using

current surgical techniques. Therefore the prediction of

nodal involvement was based on patients after sentinel

node (SN) dissection which is comparable to extended

node dissection.

Material and Methods

Clinical data of 433 prostate cancer

patients (>93.5% with MRI or CT staging) was used to

develop a formula for prediction of nodal involvement

which received SN dissection in the course of

prostatectomy or staging before radiotherapy. Clinical

parameters comprised TNM, Gleason score, percentage of

biopsies, PSA level, d’Amico and NCCN risk grouping. The

validation cohort included 414 patients of an academic

hospital using the same SN-procedure, cross-sectional

imaging was restricted to selected high risk patients.

Results

Available predictive nomograms (Briganti, Oldenburg), the

Partin and Gancarczyk tables, the Roach formula and the

MSKCC calculator were compared using ROC-curves. The

best available nomogram was the Briganti nomogram

(AUC=0.853+/-0.036 standard error). The formula was

derived by logistic regression and test of relevant

variables (cT-stage, PSA-level, Gleason score, positive

cores) by ROC curves. The formula needs two variables: T-

stage and percentage of positive cores. The formula is

given in Fig.1 and can be easily applied by a spreadsheet

analysis sheet. The developed formula reached an AUC of

0.863+/-0.034 standard error, which was comparable with

the Briganti nomogram (AUC=0.853+/-0.036). The formula

was validated by an additional data set of 414 patients.

The AUC values were 0.665 for Briganti and 0.637 for our

model.