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BREGT NATENS – JAN WOUTERS

CYIL 4 ȍ2013Ȏ

1. What’s on Doha’s services table?

The Doha Ministerial Declaration of 2001 created the mandate for the Doha

Round, also known as the Doha Development Agenda (DDA), and integrated

negotiations on the further liberalisation of trade in services in the DDA.

1

After four

years in which little progress was made, the Hong Kong Ministerial Declaration of

2005 contained an Annex C on services negotiations, which contains guidelines for

negotiations, objectives and approaches, and an ambitious timeline.

2

However, the

relatively positive feeling after the adoption of Annex C hushed completely eight

years later, as very little progress has been made since.

3

With the Bali Ministerial

Conference rapidly approaching, it is once again clear that the future of the WTO

as a place where multilateral trade deals are struck may be threatened by the DDA

deadlock and the recent rise of mega-regionalism. In an attempt to lower expectations

and the possible disappointment with regard to Bali, WTO Director-General Pascal

Lamy urged Members to ‘work towards what is reasonably doable’.

4

Considering

the gap in expectations between Members, this advice is also relevant to post-Bali

attempts to conclude the DDA in one way or another. Especially in the case of

services, there is much to be gained, as economists agree on the enormous potential

economic benefits of liberalisation in trade in services.

5

Nonetheless, services do not

appear to be on the Bali agenda.

6

Hence, services negotiators are surely already

looking onward. However, it remains incredibly difficult to assess what is ‘reasonably

doable’ in the case of services liberalisation.

To address this question, this article first aims to set out the state of play in

services negotiations at a perhaps crucial moment in the history of the WTO. To

reiterate, the DDA mandate and subsequent negotiating practice makes clear that the

most important topics in the services negotiations are the disciplines: (i) disciplines

on domestic regulations; (ii) emergency safeguard measures; (iii) disciplines on

1

WT/MIN(01)/DEC/1, Ministerial Declaration (Adopted 14 November 2001) 11 & 15. Paragraph 7

of the Doha Declaration expressly reaffirms ‘the right of Members under the General Agreement on

Trade in Services to regulate, and to introduce new regulations on, the supply of services’, thus re-

establishing the importance of a balance between trade liberalization and sufficient autonomy for

governments to regulate.

2

WT/MIN(05)/DEC, Ministerial Declaration (Doha Work Programme) (Adopted 18 December 2005).

3

Rudolf Adlung, ‘Services Negotiations in the Doha Round: Lost in Flexibility?’ (2006) 9 Journal of

International Economic Law 865, 866.

4

World Trade Organization, ‘7 December 2012, Trade Negotiations Committee: Formal meeting: Lamy

Urges “Credible” Results at Bali Ministerial’ (2012) <

http://www.wto.org/english/news_e/news12_e/

tnc_stat_07dec12_e.htm> accessed 15 May 2013.

5

For example, Decreux and Fontagné calculated that ‘there is more to be gained for the world economy

from a 25% reduction of barriers in services than from a 70% tariff cut in agriculture in the North, 50%

cut in the South, a reduction by half of domestic support, and the phasing out of export subsidies’. See:

Yvan Decreux and Lionel Fontagné,

A Quantitative Assessment of the Outcome of the Doha Development

Agenda

(CEPII Working Paper, N°2006-10, 2006) 31. Also see Antoine Bouet and David Laborde,

‘Assessing the Potential Cost of a Failed Doha Round’ (2010) 9 World Trade Review 319.

6

ICTSD, ‘WTO Members Focus on “Realistic” Doha Deliverables for 2013’ (2012) 1 Bridges Africa

Review.