1st ICAI 2020

International Conference on Automotive Industry 2020

Mladá Boleslav, Czech Republic

of the Czech Republic through the year 2040, which was prepared by the state-owned electrical power distribution company ČEPS in 2019 (ČEPS, 2019), projects net consumption of 75 TWh in 2030 and 78 TWh in 2040. If the use of electric vehicles increases according to our scenario for the future, the use of electric passenger cars will require about two percent of the Czech Republic’s total consumption of electrical energy in 2030. In 2040, the demand will be substantially greater, a significant eight percent of total consumption.

Table 2: Outlook for Total Electricity Consumption and Consumption by Electric Vehicles in the Czech Republic (TWh)

Electricity Consumption (netto) -Assessment of generation adequacy of the Czech Republic’s electricity system (ČEPS, 2019)

The share of electromobility in the total electricity consumption in the Czech Republic (SEK scenario)

The share of electromobility in the total electricity consumption in the Czech Republic (CEPS scenario)

Electricity Consumption (netto) - State Energy Policy (2015)

Total electricity consumption by electric vehicles

Year

2030

70

75

1.4

2.0%

1.9%

2040 7.9% Source: State Energy Policy – Ministry of Industry and Trade (2015), ČEPS (2019), own elaboration However, total electricity consumption by electric vehicles may be higher, as electric car users have so far not paid much attention to their cars’ electricity consumption (Turon, K, 2019). As a result, their electricity consumption is much higher than the vehicle specification provided by the manufacturer. The production side of the energy balance of the Czech Republic is likely to be a much more difficult problem than the demand side. The Assessment of Generation Adequacy of the Czech Republic’s Electricity System until 2040 (ČEPS, 2019) shows that by 2040 the Czech Republic will face a relatively significant decrease in its sources for electricity production, which will need to be replaced. The resulting balance for the Czech Republic comes out with a significant deficit, and from 2030 the Czech Republic would thus gradually become dependent on imports of electricity from abroad. This also applies to Germany, where the overall installed capacity for electricity generation is not adequate to meet the increase in electricity demand that arises under significant electric vehicles penetrations (Bellocchi, 2019). This paper does not have the aim of evaluating the production of electrical energy in the Czech Republic, however. Neither will it evaluate the adequacy of the electricity transmission and distribution network. 4. Conclusion This paper focuses its attention on the outlook for the development of electrically powered passenger cars in the Czech Republic and its impact on the electrical energy balance of the country. The number of newly registered electric passenger cars and the 74 78 6.2 8.3%

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