1st ICAI 2020

International Conference on Automotive Industry 2020

Mladá Boleslav, Czech Republic

current number of electric cars in operation in the Czech Republic is still very small. Due to strict regulations of emissions and the high level of investment by carmakers into development and production of electric cars, we anticipate that sales of new electrically powered cars will quickly increase in the Czech Republic as elsewhere. According to the estimates in this paper, the share of newly registered electric cars will increase to 30% of the total annual number of new cars sold in the Czech Republic by the year 2030 and to 59% in 2040. The share of electric cars in the entire passenger vehicle fleet of the Czech Republic should reach 6.1% in 2030 and 23.9% in 2040. Consumption of electricity by electrically powered vehicles will increase accordingly. Electric passenger cars are expected to consume 1.4 TWh of electricity in 2030 and 6.2 TWh in 2040. The country’s overall consumption of electrical energy is expected to increase as well. According to various scenarios, the share of electric cars in overall consumption of electricity in the Czech Republic is expected to be a mere 2% in 2030. Electric cars will take on more importance by the year 2040, when their consumption should be 8% of the total. The energy policy of the Czech Republic must take this growth into account, especially because a fairly significant decrease in the sources of electricity production is expected to take place in the period up to 2040. Acknowledgements This paper was created within the project of ŠKODA AUTO Vysoká škola o.p.s.: Automotive Industry in the Contemporary Economy: Positions and Trends. References [1] ADAC (2020): Aktuelle Elektroautos imTest: So hoch ist der Stromverbrauch [online]. [cit. 2020-02-17]. Available at: https://www.adac.de/rund-ums-fahrzeug/tests/ elektromobilitaet/stromverbrauch-elektroautos-adac-test/. [2] Bellocchi, S., Klockner, K., Manno, M., Noussan, M. and Vellini, M. (2019). On the role of electric vehicles towards low-carbon energy systems: Italy and Germany in comparison. Applied Energy , vol. 255, article number 113848. [3] Blomberg New Energy Finance (2019). Electric Vehicle Outlook 2019 [online]. [cit. 2020-02-08]. Available at: https://about.bnef.com/electric-vehicle-outlook/. [4] Car Importers Association (2020, a). Statistics [online]. [cit. 2020-02-05]. Available at: http://portal.sda-cia.cz/stat.php?m#str=nova. [5] Car Importers Association (2020, b). Statistics [online]. [cit. 2020-02-05]. Available at: http://portal.sda-cia.cz/stat.php?v#str=vpp. [6] Czech Statistical Office (2018). Population projections of the Czech Republic – 2018-2100 [online]. [cit. 2020-02-07]. Available at: https://www.czso.cz/csu/czso/ projekce-obyvatelstva-ceske-republiky-2018-2100. [7] Czech Statistical Office (2020). Electricity balance [online]. [cit. 2020-02-17]. Available at: https://vdb.czso.cz/vdbvo2/faces/en/index.jsf?page=vystup-objekt&p vo=ENE04&z=T&f=TABULKA&katalog=30835&c=v3~8__RP2018.

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