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Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2017 Annex G: Gas Quality Outlook |

17

NW – RU Min

NW – LNG Min

In the two graphs above, it can be observed that inferior limit for GCV shows an

ascending trend. The superior limit is less stable in a supply mix with minimum lev-

els of LNG, registering the lowest value towards the middle of the period and rising

again towards the end due to an increase of LNG flows.

41.80

40.80

39.80

38.80

37.80

36.80

35.80

34.80

10.20

11.20

10.70

11.70

12.20

2017

2019

2018

2021 2022

2024

2020

2023

2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

High probability

Low probability

2.5 and 97.5 percentiles

50 percentile (median)

NW – RU Min

Gross Calori c Value (kWh/m

3

, 25/0)

Gross Calori c Value (MJ/m

3

, 15/15)

41.80

40.80

39.80

38.80

37.80

36.80

35.80

34.80

10.20

11.20

10.70

11.70

12.20

2017

2019

2018

2021 2022

2024

2020

2023

2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

High probability

Low probability

2.5 and 97.5 percentiles

50 percentile (median)

NW – LNG Min

Gross Calori c Value (kWh/m

3

, 25/0)

Gross Calori c Value (MJ/m

3

, 15/15)