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Speech Pathology 2030 - making futures happen
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THE SCENARIO APPROACH
While the future is inherently uncertain, scenarios help us bound that uncertainty into a limited number of likely paths.
Some paths may lead to futures we want to avoid while others point to surprisingly favourable outcomes. Once
these alternatives have been articulated, we can more easily explore the inherent uncertainty to find opportunities
and challenges we might otherwise miss. These insights can then inform strategic planning processes. (
Institute for
Alternative Futures
)
1
S
peech Pathology 2030
presents a strong vision for the
future of speech pathology in Australia. The vision is
just one important part of shaping the best possible
future for the profession. As much as we might like to
think otherwise, the future has never behaved in a predictable
way.
This is where scenario planning has a role to play.
Scenario planning begins with identifying key drivers of change
likely to shape our future and exploring how they might unfold
over time—some will be more predictable than others.
The following information presents a number of key drivers of
change. Some of these drivers have a reasonably high level of
predictability and clarity. Others are far more uncertain and their
future direction considerably less predictable.
The content presented is based on
Understanding the
landscape – a stimulus paper
prepared in Stage 1 of
Speech
Pathology 2030.
The stimulus paper, including all relevant references is available
at
www.speechpathologyaustralia.org.au/SP20301
Institute for Alternative Futures. (2014).
Public Health 2030: A Scenario Exploration.
Alexandria, VA. Retrieved
from
www.altfutures.org/pubs/PH2030/IAF-PublicHealth2030Scenarios.pdf