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Figure 1 appears to suggest that if one were to use the

95%_U_Lim or 99%_U_Lim values to define method

acceptability, when the variability is higher, usually for low

concentrations, the limits are wider, as they should be,

allowing a greater degree of leniency for a method to be

classified as acceptable than when the variability is lower for

the higher concentrations.

Summary

A formula was developed for use in computing an upper

limit for future sample relative reproducibility standard

deviations obtained using a given method to analyze a given

material in a collaborative study. This formula, and to a degree

the results in Table 1, will prove useful to Study Directors in

the design of collaborative studies because they can use the

formula calculations or the results in Table 1 as a barometer

for the worst that can be expected, given a specified level of

confidence, with respect to reproducibility precision prior to

conducting a study. The one drawback in using the formula is

that it assumes that the relative reproducibility standard

deviation and the ratio of the repeatability standard deviation

to the reproducibility standard deviation are known

population parameters. However, in practice this assumption

may be relaxed by accepting and using the research results by

Horwitz and Albert (7, 8) with respect to reproducibility

precision. The results of that research, particularly that

relating to the "Horwitz equation," appear useful for obtaining

reproducibility precision consensus values for the above

mentioned parameters that are generally accepted as

standards.

Acknowledgements

The authors are grateful to Robert Blodgett (FDA/CFSAN,

College Park, MD) for assistance in developing the SAS

simulation procedure. In addition, we thank the referee for

comments, which have assisted in improving the paper.

References

(1) McClure, F.D., & Lee, J.K. (2005)

J. AOAC Int.

88

, 1503–1510

(2) Hald, A. (1952)

Statistical Theory with Engineering

Applications

, John Wiley & Sons Inc., New York, NY

(3) Bishop, Y., Fienberg, S., & Holland, P. (1975)

Discrete

Multivariate Analysis: Theory and Practice

, MIT Press,

Cambridge, MA

(4) ISO 5725 (2000)

Statistical Methods for Quality Control, Vol.

2 Measurement Methods and Results Interpretation of

Statistical Data Process Control

, 5th Ed., International

Organization for Standardization, Geneva, Switzerland

(5) Stuart, A., Ord, K., & Arnold, S. (1999)

Kendall’s Advanced

Theory of Statistics,

6th Ed., Vol. 2A, Oxford University

Press Inc., New York, NY

(6) Scheffe, H. (1959)

The Analysis of Variance,

John Wiley &

Sons, Inc., New York, NY

(7) Horwitz, W.H., & Albert, R.A. (1996)

J. AOAC Int.

79

,

589–621

(8) Horwitz, W. (1999) Personal Communication on the

Magnitude of Historic Ratios of the Repeatability Standard

Deviation to the Reproducibility Standard Deviation

s

s

r

R

(9)

Official Methods of Analysis

(2005) Appendix D: Guidelines

for Collaborative Study Procedures to Validate

Characteristics of a Method of Analysis; Part 6: Guidelines

for Collaborative Study, AOAC Official Methods Program

Manual (OMA Program Manual): A Policies and Procedures

Guide for the Official Methods Program (OMA), AOAC

INTERNATIONAL (2003)

(10) Mood, A., Graybill, F., & Boes, D. (1974)

Introduction to the

Theory of Statistics

, McGraw-Hill, Inc., New York, NY

Appendix

The following Statistical Analysis System (SAS) program

was written and executed to obtain a simulated distribution of

sample RSD

R

values. It is an unabridged version of the

program used to generate the simulation results presented

earlier.

SAS Program to Determine a One-Tailed 100p%

Upper Limit for Future Sample Relative

Reproducibility Standard Deviations

OPTIONS NODATE NONUMBER;

%LET TEST = 10000;

/*INPUT NUMBER OF SAMPLE RSD

R

SIMULATIONS*/

%LET N_LABS = 8;

/*INPUT NUMBER OF LABORATORIES*/

%LET REPS= 2;

/*INPUT NUMBER OF REPLICATES*/

%LET C = 1;

/*INPUT VALUE FOR CONCENTRATION LEVEL*/

%LET XI_R = .02;

/*INPUT CONSENSUS VALUE FOR POP. */

%LET THETA = 0.5;

/*INPUT

(

r

R

*/

DATA FSIM (KEEP=X LAB I RHO N_LABS REPS ); /* NEEDED FOR GLM**/

ARRAY XG{&N_LABS.} XG1 - XG&N_LABS.;

ARRAY SLGP{&N_LABS.} SLGP1 - SLGP&N_LABS.;

SIG_L = SQRT((&C.*&XI_R.)**2 - (&THETA.*&XI_R.*&C.)**2); /*LAB STD*/

RHO = 1 - &THETA**2; /**ICC CALC.***/

SIG_R = &THETA*&XI_R.*&C; /*REPEATABILITY STANDARD DEVIATION*/

N_LABS = &N_LABS.;

REPS = &REPS.;

DO I = 1 TO &TEST.;

DO J = 1 TO &N_LABS.;

SLGP{J} = SIG_L*RANNOR(0); /*LABORATORY SELECTION*/

END;

DO J = 1 TO &REPS.;

DO LAB = 1 TO &N_LABS.;

X = &C + SLGP{LAB} + SIG_R*RANNOR(0); /*REPLICATE SELECTION*/

OUTPUT FSIM;

END;

END;END;

RUN;

PROC GLM DATA=FSIM NOPRINT OUTSTAT=STATS;

BY I;

CLASSES LAB;

MODEL X= LAB;

RUN; QUIT;

802

M

C

C

LURE

& L

EE

: J

OURNAL OF

AOAC I

NTERNATIONAL

V

OL

. 89, N

O

. 3, 2006

135