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late dysphagia. Sixty-two patients (74%) have been followed

beyond 5 years, or have experienced severe late dysphagia, death

or disease recurrence.

The actuarial 5-year rate of locoregional failure was 20% (95% CI

12–31%), distant metastases 16% (95% CI 9–27%) and overall sur-

vival 70% (95% CI 58–80%). Fifty-three of 84 patients (63%) have

either experienced toxicity, recurrence, death or have been fol-

lowed beyond 9 years. Ten patients underwent a salvage laryngec-

tomy after recurrence for a 5-year cumulative incidence of 15%

(95% CI 8–25%). Eight of the ten salvage laryngectomies were suc-

cessful and the patients were alive and without evidence of disease

at the time of their last follow-up.

Late toxicity

Twenty-two patients experienced severe late dysphagia. The

cumulative incidence of severe late dysphagia and its components

are presented in

Table 2

and

Fig. 1

. The overall cumulative inci-

dence of severe late dysphagia at 5 years was 26.5% (95% CI

15.2–37.8%). Sixty-eight percent of patients required feeding tube

support on-treatment (

Fig. 2

) but at one year after radiotherapy

only 1.8% remained feeding tube dependent (95% CI 0.2–11.2%).

No patient required a laryngectomy for toxicity. Stricture dilation

within the first year after radiotherapy was the most common sev-

ere late dysphagia event. Of the 18 patients who required stricture

dilation, 12 required multiple dilations. The median number of

dilations for those who underwent dilation was 2 (range 1–8). Of

the 22 patients who experienced severe late dysphagia, four

(18%) experienced their first event beyond 5 years.

Cause of death

At the time of last follow-up, 31 patients had died (37%).

Table 3

presents the distributions of deaths observed in comparison to the

distribution seen on RTOG 91-11. The index head and neck cancer

was the most common cause of death in both cohorts. Two patients

in our series expired as a result of neutropenic fever while on-

treatment. The cause of death could not be determined in 6

patients (19% deaths) who expired out of state or out of the coun-

try. The distribution is comparable to RTOG 91-11 (Pearson Chi-

square

p

= 0.454). Of note, the specific number of deaths observed

on RTOG 91-11 due to aspiration pneumonia is not specified, but

three late RTOG grade 5 toxicities were observed within the con-

current chemotherapy arm: one pharynx/esophagus, one larynx

and one ‘‘other” event, leading to a maximum crude rate of 2% or

less.

Factors associated with severe late dysphagia

To investigate clinical factors which may be associated with

severe late dysphagia, a Fine-Gray competing risk regression was

performed. Results are presented in

Table 4

. Among all patient,

tumor and treatment factors entered into the univariate regression,

twice-daily radiotherapy fractionation was the only statistically-

significant association with increased severe late dysphagia (HR

2.51, 95% CI 1.10–5.72,

p

= 0.028). The use of single agent cisplatin

rather than multiagent chemotherapy, or IMRT as opposed to 3D

planning were not associated with a reduction in severe late dys-

phagia on univariate analysis. A multivariate analysis was not per-

formed given the univariate results.

Discussion

In this study patients with larynx cancer who met the inclusion

criteria of RTOG 91-11 were retrospectively identified and a

detailed time-to-event analysis of severe late dysphagia was per-

formed while accounting for the competing risks of recurrence or

death. This is the first analysis to apply a competing risk analysis

Table 1

Study demographics (

n

= 84).

Age at first diagnosis

Median (Range)

60 (43–76)

Race

Caucasian

72 (87%)

African American

10 (12%)

Hispanic

1 (1%)

Gender

Male

60 (71%)

Female

24 (29%)

Smoking history

Never smoker

3 (4%)

Former smoker

(Quit >3 months)

38 (45%)

Current smoker

33 (39%)

Use during or after

radiation

9 (11%)

Unknown smoking

history

1 (1%)

Karnofsky score

Median (Range)

90 (80–90)

Tobacco pack-years

Median (Range)

40 (0–200)

Heavy alcohol consumption? No

68 (81%)

Yes

16 (19%)

Larynx subsite

Supraglottic

60 (71%)

Glottic

24 (29%)

T Classification

2

13 (16%)

3

65 (77%)

4

6 (7%)

N Classification

0

31 (37%)

1

18 (21%)

2a

3 (4%)

2b

12 (14%)

2c

19 (23%)

3

1 (1%)

Grouped stage

III

45 (54%)

IV

39 (46%)

Lymph node dissection

No

74 (88%)

Yes

10 (12%)

Chemotherapy

Cisplatin (CP)

17 (20%)

CP/5FU

63 (75%)

CP/5FU with Gefitinib 1 (1%)

Other multiagent

3 (4%)

Radiation type

3D-RT

63 (75%)

IMRT

21 (25%)

Altered fractionation

Daily

46 (55%)

BID

31 (37%)

6-Fractions per week 7 (8%)

Feeding tube placed during

treatment

No

27 (33%)

Yes

56 (68%)

Dose of RT

Median (Range)

72 Gy (62.4–

74.4 Gy)

Number of fractions

Median (Range)

36 (32–62)

Duration of RT (Days)

Median (Range)

46 (29–64)

Months of follow-up

(Survivors)

Median (Range)

53 (8.8–180)

Number of follow-up visits

Median (Range)

14 (0–44)

Table 2

Cumulative incidence (CI) of severe late dysphagia and its components (cumulative

incidence and 95% confidence intervals are listed). Twenty-two patients experienced

severe late dysphagia and 4 experienced the first event beyond 5 years.

CI of stricture dilation at 5 years

17.2% (8.9–25.6%)

CI of late feeding tube placed at 5 years

3.8% (0–8.0%)

CI of aspiration admission at 5 years

2.8% (0–6.9%)

Feeding tube dependent at 1 year

1.8% (0.2–11.2%)

CI of severe late dysphagia at 5 years

26.5% (15.2–37.8%)

M.C. Ward et al. / Oral Oncology 57 (2016) 21–26

67