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85
Figure 31: Crushed by war and world conflicts.
For people in countries at war or subject to economic embargos, many goods are
scarce, with shortages of food and water being the most crucial. (Source: PRIO, 2004).
years, implying that tight markets may be a permanent fac-
tor in the next decade. This does not necessarily lead to
permanent higher prices, but provides the background for
continuing price volatility in the future.
CONSTRAINTS BY CONFLICTS
Conflicts increase the risk of food supply instability tre-
mendously (Figure 31). Countries in conflict and post-con-
flict situations tend to be food insecure, with more than
20% of the population, and in many cases far more, lack-
ing access to adequate food (IFPRI, 2006). The group of
countries that are experiencing civil conflicts cannot meet
their basic needs and are large importers of food. In addi-
tion, the transport of commodities is hazardous and the
situation is not secure enough for farmers to make invest-
ment decisions.